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AtlanticWx

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Everything posted by AtlanticWx

  1. AtlanticWx
    NAM had positive changes with our vort & confluence starting at hour 48. If this means anything for 0z runs, we're set. Confluence def lifted by 48 w/ trough buckling more -> more interaction by the period of interest
  2. AtlanticWx
    I honestly think we want the TPV lobe to hold back a little earlier instead of pushing east. The further west it is, the more interaction it'll have with the southern piece and capture it properly, just like we saw with the Euro solutions last night
  3. AtlanticWx
    yeah on the bright side, euro is one of the only models with the kicker literally starting to wrap around our system lmao
  4. AtlanticWx
    yeah i wonder why this is the case. is it because ensembles are more low res besides eps and eps is the most juiced out of them?
  5. AtlanticWx
    i mean it did, that's what caused it to be better further south and worse further north. good for us now, but we wouldn't want this to become a trend. idt it will tho so we'll see
  6. AtlanticWx
    euro made two negative shifts this run looking at it. by hour 84, there's less interaction between the two waves. additionally, the kicker is more destructive, stringing it out but stringing it out too late for it to affect us.
  7. AtlanticWx
    when are we getting a thread? after the gfs cave
  8. AtlanticWx
    6z euro somehow looked even better with the capture of the southern piece holy shit
  9. AtlanticWx
    4" here in south gtown, hit forecast with a few hours of snow left to go. let's get it
  10. AtlanticWx
    2.6 in GTown.
  11. AtlanticWx
    Can a met explain why HRRR is so much warmer than every other model with sfc temps?
  12. AtlanticWx
    Honestly getting really excited for this. Didn't think we would score in February, let alone stare down a possible 6-8"+ storm area wide
  13. AtlanticWx
    qpf max went up, i like this run more than 6z. just went south due to noise with the confluence which doesn't get sampled till tomorrow anyways. i like this change
  14. AtlanticWx
    eyeballing more than just a dusting now, all surfaces caving in gtown. 33.2°
  15. AtlanticWx
    wtf i didn't realize soundings looked like this
  16. AtlanticWx
    so excited to get a daytime snowstorm tomorrow. my sleep schedule has gotten so cooked by the late-night storms that peak at like 4 am. nice to see a snowstorm peaking at like 4 pm
  17. AtlanticWx
    hey yall, i've not been looking recently. how we looking for the storm and more specifically NW moco?
  18. AtlanticWx
    jan 6-7 is the new dec 5 of the 2020s
  19. AtlanticWx
    what are people's thoughts on ratios being overdone with kuchera for this event? soundings don't look impressive, with ripping winds and subpar lift in the DGZ just like on monday for the frontend thump
  20. AtlanticWx
    snowflakes look so much healthier now than they were in the first round. really seeing the impacts of better snow growth, accumulating nicely and efficiently
  21. AtlanticWx
    ripping fatties in germantown
  22. AtlanticWx
    3/8" of snow in the last 17 minutes, 1.3"/hr rates. Up to 4.7", but snow depth is around 4.3-4.4" due to compaction probably
  23. AtlanticWx
    .6" in the past 30 minutes, 1.2"/hr rates in gtown with radar only lighting up more. been sitting in greens and some yellows
  24. AtlanticWx
    i think that initial thump that exceeded expectations really set us up well. now FGEN is coming in and much of the area is eyeing down 1.25-2"/hr rates. sleet line coming north should also give us some heavy snow with better flake size i imagine
  25. AtlanticWx
    holy shit. look at the precip nw of the vort max, way overperforming compared to short res models. the dmv is in for a rude awakening tonight when everyone's gonna think the storm is over and then it comes back. getting jan 2019 vibes with this look tbh
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