AtlanticWx
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About AtlanticWx
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KIAD
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Location:
Germantown, MD
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The Weekend Rule? Saturday 2/17 - The Icon Storm
AtlanticWx replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
i think it's less impressive because most of all it cuts back the extra precip associated w the piece near the back edge which lines up with obs. but i just honestly doubt that it'll be that low because rates look impressive compared to NAM 3K which only gets to 1"/hr rates at best -
The Weekend Rule? Saturday 2/17 - The Icon Storm
AtlanticWx replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
i remember HRRR kept drying up and down trending run after run prior to 1/7/22 which isn't that far off from the storm we're supposed to get tonight since it was a quick hitter w great dynamics ended up with 6" of snow despite HRRR telling me i was gonna get 1-2" right before -
The Weekend Rule? Saturday 2/17 - The Icon Storm
AtlanticWx replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
37.2° right now, definitely running a bit cold. NAM 3K had us hitting 37-38° at 12 am -
The Weekend Rule? Saturday 2/17 - The Icon Storm
AtlanticWx replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
41° right now exactly. following models to a tee w temps rn -
i can't wait to see the papers analyzing this model fuck-up
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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js out of curiosity are we not worried that nearly all of the gefs members having a storm for 2/24 have a predominant rain storm?
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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me too, i loved that stretch of winter. it was so nice going on snow walks and taking it all in. if it ended there and then, i would've been happy with this winter
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personally i wouldn't want to have to shovel every few days and have schools closed for ~4 days like we had that one wintry week in january every week but that's just me!
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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i guarantee you most people in here would be tired if we got 8 weeks of conditions like we had that one week in january. nobody is that much of a winter weenie lmao
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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we don't live in alaska i don't know why anyone would expect or even want 8 weeks of wall to wall wintry conditions
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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that week in january was objectively the best looking at the AWSSI values at the three airports from the past 7 years and even for all time it ranked within the top 1-2% of weeks winter-wise if people are complaining about a week like that then maybe u shld move somewhere else cuz ur expectations are way too high
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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yeah it looked like it was about to drop a nice one and maybe even a bigger one if u extrapolate far enough to where that aleutian low ejects a vort
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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the euro weeklies control run is still weenie with regionwide 18"+ lmao i hate the controls runs of the weeklies especially, but it's just surprising to me how for the last 6 runs or so it just hasn't given up on the idea of a MECS+ storm with this pattern
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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i also rlly like feb 23-25 when that mega aleutian low ejects a fat trough
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
AtlanticWx replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
i like seeing that somewhat active NS stream too based off the mean, could mean a big phase