DarkSharkWX

okay damn, 4.2" in 3 hrs

new AIFS goes up the coast more compared to last run where it was suppressed

1.8" here as of 1 am, 1.2-1.5" fell in an hour in NE gaithersburg

eps looks good

does anyone else in germantown/gaithersburg/rockville have around 8"(or slightly less/more)?

Problem today imo was the DGZ was so high so you couldn't get proper lift in there, and in the DGZ the winds were raging so most of ur flakes were needles and it lowered ratios, thats why although it was a dry snow wasn't accumulating that well until the end of the frontend(4-8a) when you got much better flake production the backside piece should be much better - DGZ is lower to where you can get proper lift within it, moving away from WAA precip so no warm nose worries, and the winds in the DGZ calm down a lot. you won't get the very heavy rates we saw earlier today but it will be nicer snow and have more overpreformer potential imo, probably why ur seeing NWS go more bullish w/ the rest of the storm

Barring another 0.1-0.2" from the precip moving NE in loudoun/surrounding, most likely 5.8" here in NE gaithersburg, mixed with sleet for 5 minutes before backing off, snow depth is 5-5.5" right now(appears 0.2-0.4" compacted)

cutoff block on eps...

ur best shot for something substantial is when the jet retracts and the regime breaks down, probably mlk weekend time period, but things look good after 1/6 EPS extended the jet less today btw

eps doubles down

waiting for GEFS obv but gfs made a big step toward euro, look at the aleutians and NATL

https://x.com/MikeTFox5/status/1871381842693066961

webb not buying GEFS/GEPS

GEFS

makes sense with more AAM expected, prob can temper-pna a bit for dec