Stormchaserchuck1

Ice storms are very common in -EPO's/-WP's (1-27 to 2/6) Here's what we have coming Jan 27th - Feb 2(-epo) Feb 2-7 (-wpo) (reverse this map v, map is opposite correlation of above) And believe it or not, I like +NAO for snow more than -NAO, at this time. (v+NAO composite)

The -PNA developing at 12z GFS ensembles at 384hr will probably not verify. That is what is probably our cold window/time (Feb 7-21) Dec -NAO/wetter than average is heavily followed by +NAO February (stronger signal than -NAO's that I was looking for!), so we will have to contend that with that perhaps.

Will be interesting to see if the El Nino holds, if we have a -PNA March....

' We may have to "build to" an east coast event, start Feb 5, 7-8, then maybe Feb 10-13 we'll get a snowstorm. I would actually like the NAO to stay positive.

Still have to shake this -PNA tendency. I say ~Feb7-8-> we start getting hit.

I think we will have a window around Feb 7-21 for wintery conditions. The year started off with a colder than normal Russia/Siberia. Flagstaff and that area has now seen 3 snowstorm hits, and Japan according to this is about to get record cold (such an extreme anomaly doesn't usually happen there). The theme continues to be 35-50N, with 45N more consistent for cold/shots. It hasn't hit the Mid Atlantic yet, but it has hit 3 other areas around the same latitude this year. (I made a note of this before)

Mathematical validity. I like scientific theory, but sometimes the unknown manifests in anomaly. Thanks for approving. Thanks. Models are trending that way. It would verify as a pattern change. Feb (5th)~7/8 -21 +PNA is the call right now

Can someone approve these?

More CAD, stronger storm (Moderator review doesn't work with this kind of stuff. )

Sorry for another football post but the SF 0-15, team records after they play SF, I've found through stats/research, carries. If DAL wins this game (DAL/SF), PHL will probably win the SB (Dall loss next week). If SF wins, and PHL beats them, KC will probably win the Super Bowl. random

PHL still 3rd place 1:3 odds to win the SB. Cincy is ahead of them 1:2.8 right now. I'd take that, Philly is 16-1 with Hurts, blowing out all the stats. They were up 14-0 in the 1st quarter last 2 games with Hurt's after injury.

60s

PHL will probably win the SB.

Feb 5-21 +PNA possibility (I think the dates surrounding.. Feb 1-4 and Feb 22-28 into March will go -PNA) It's verifying.. scientific-math. validity vs random

Next one is Feb 5-21, 2022 Next one Feb 5-21, 2023, this will verify. This will verify.2023 fwiw

Verified

NW, US cold anomaly (SD) Feb 5th, since year 2000: Reverses in March. (Models have a strong -500mb vortex over WA,OR on Feb 5th. I would guess that this is maybe to favor a -NAO in March.. -NAOlRNA-tendency

Feb 1st.. 5th consecutive year Feb 5th v

Again, the last 3 years were strong in the N. Pacific Feb 5th. Believe it or not, the 4 years prior, were all -EPO/vortex in that area in the date: Model has another tremendous -PNA this Feb 5th.,

The 18z GFS is a lot warmer than the 18z NAM for the beginning of the storm.

591+dm ridge on the coldest day of the year (average) lol Draw over it all you want hr150 and 174 same thing 593dm maybe even.. last time models did this was for the pattern right after this Christmas. (Jan 27th the coldest high/low day of the year, script?)

Chiefs 60% chance to win, Eagles 25% chance, everyone else (combined winning streak +28 games BUF-CIN-SF) 15%, imo.

My guess would be that we have a window mid-Late February, the dates when last year's -PNA peaked.. March is not going to snow probably, as I am looking at -PNA for March

Football is really mechanical if you watch too much of it (NFL at least).