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Stormchaserchuck1

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Everything posted by Stormchaserchuck1

  1. Stormchaserchuck1
    If we can get this thing to come earlier, it would be better.
  2. Stormchaserchuck1
    -PNA
  3. Stormchaserchuck1
    Stronger/more amped WC energy 0z https://ibb.co/5B9dBFg Stronger -NAO.. slightly sw pac ridge, but it's oriented more toward -epo, and a +pna trough looks like it's trying to undercut the ridge vs 18z
  4. Stormchaserchuck1
    WOW 18z NAM vs 12z GFS https://ibb.co/0shS616
  5. Stormchaserchuck1
    February is the strongest Nino month. This is what the last El Nino February did!
  6. Stormchaserchuck1
    18-19 Weak Nino didn't do good enough.. We had a -PNA that Winter and near +200dm in February! We need a healthy Moderate or Strong Nino imo.
  7. Stormchaserchuck1
    Ensembles look great.. we still have plenty of time for an adjustment. Models will have to kill the -EPO imo for a cutter through the Rockies/Midwest.
  8. Stormchaserchuck1
    Well the Pacific changes conditions today. By Monday, it's full on +pdo(+pna/-epo). Models seem to have been over initializing current conditions, so let's see if that changes anything.
  9. Stormchaserchuck1
    Stronger +PNA Low and higher ridge into Alaska.. funny. At this point, something will need to be worked out between the two (SE ridge 2nd part). They are like slowly organizing an amplified pattern slowly...
  10. Stormchaserchuck1
    It kind of seems like models are being "lazy" in my opinion, over amplifying the energy because it can't handle the heavily amplified new pattern.. maybe the EPO area will adjust on future model runs?
  11. Stormchaserchuck1
    Would have to suppress the SE ridge if that holds.. maybe the energy splits? Pretty wild to go SE ridge when this is dominating and -NAO too. It can happen, but something might need to be worked out.
  12. Stormchaserchuck1
    Look at that storm! STJ amped east and west to hold its energy as a general pattern.. check
  13. Stormchaserchuck1
    The pattern is a little more uniform though.
  14. Stormchaserchuck1
    STJ continues to be really amplified at 98hr.
  15. Stormchaserchuck1
    wet Could really be an amplified solution down the line. Intuition is that the SE ridge would have to get squashed with such a favorable upper latitude pattern, unless the upper latitudes change on models.
  16. Stormchaserchuck1
    Active STJ building here Rain or snow, it's going to be a wild time period with so much energy.
  17. Stormchaserchuck1
    What a monster pattern.
  18. Stormchaserchuck1
    Look at how wet the STJ is.
  19. Stormchaserchuck1
    This is why Alaska and Greenland are here!
  20. Stormchaserchuck1
    Yeah, that's a pretty awesome look. look at the cold air wedging in
  21. Stormchaserchuck1
    Nice, healthy -EPO and -NAO on 18z NAM at 84hr. I can see the lower latitudes fitting under this very well. Maybe the earlier piece trends. It seems for that for an EC trough/snowstorm, they always want to make it GOA low. (^That -EPO is too organized and strong for a strong, sustained SE ridge.)
  22. Stormchaserchuck1
    Top 5-10 event as center point extremes, but everything's getting warmer so..
  23. Stormchaserchuck1
    Look at this monster pattern.
  24. Stormchaserchuck1
    Even the Strong Nino's have trended away from pattern.
  25. Stormchaserchuck1
    Because of the -NAO tendency, I might expect this to trend south. It's not too late here.. can't be any later.
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