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Stormchaserchuck1

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Everything posted by Stormchaserchuck1

  1. Stormchaserchuck1
    0z HRRR took away our snowband tomorrow.
  2. Stormchaserchuck1
    It actually has pretty good snow depth considering how light.. 1-2"
  3. Stormchaserchuck1
    Ratios aren't going to be that high.
  4. Stormchaserchuck1
    Cool pictures.
  5. Stormchaserchuck1
    NAM has a pretty good 2-3" in central MD It does sometimes have a NW/wet bias.. so we'll see
  6. Stormchaserchuck1
    It's worse https://ibb.co/vJmqjk7
  7. Stormchaserchuck1
    0z NAM 84hr vs 18z GFS 90hr https://ibb.co/j69cJh1
  8. Stormchaserchuck1
    temps a little warmer.. 990mb low in south-central Canada. NS fighting for dominance on the NAM
  9. Stormchaserchuck1
    NAM is flatter vs 18z
  10. Stormchaserchuck1
    Does anyone else think it might be a little warm for the 2nd storm? That's a 500mb 482dm low off the south coast of Greenland at 165hr (++nao) and a 593dm high north of Puerto Rico.
  11. Stormchaserchuck1
    18z NAM 84hr vs the 12z GFS at 90hr https://ibb.co/80YSq6J
  12. Stormchaserchuck1
    Trough a little more negative on 18z nam vs 12z https://ibb.co/wBfzCPt
  13. Stormchaserchuck1
    I know the NAM isn't ideal, but so far at 18z it's digging a bit more in the west. That's the trend we need to look for. Hudson bay vortex is in a slightly more favorable spot. small steps https://ibb.co/jH7WWDc
  14. Stormchaserchuck1
    You guys dont love this look? https://ibb.co/gyHKtGf It's close to a big storm That Aleutian island block.. if it doesn't go anywhere.. should help send the moisture further NW (slightly more amped SE ridge)
  15. Stormchaserchuck1
    If it hangs back later, we might be able to do a stronger storm, because that piece of the Polar Jet is rotating SW in SE Canada (to possibly phase.. or at least close to it) https://ibb.co/ZBPR9Qy
  16. Stormchaserchuck1
    It's colder this run.. stronger -NAO. I might take the trend, it's not as good as 18z, but there is potentially more upside
  17. Stormchaserchuck1
    0z RGEM vs 18z GFS is similar to 0z NAM vs 18z gfs.. flatter trough, but hanging more energy back in the west.
  18. Stormchaserchuck1
    00z NAM at 84hr vs 90hr 18z GFS... looks better on the NAMhttps://ibb.co/bmg6rjL
  19. Stormchaserchuck1
    We seem to be hitting -NAO's more often, but they are being overwhelmed. I think this +Nao/+pna-epo .. or -Nao/-pna+epo correlation is going to hold. If you look at the clouds... about 2-3 years ago we starting getting more cloud thickness. I think that is a long term graduation program. We still have a ways to go to detox all this snow-melt seasons, but I think we are trending toward something more favorable a few years down the road.
  20. Stormchaserchuck1
    Nina's after a Nino are actually a myth.
  21. Stormchaserchuck1
    This is what we should have when there is a block over the Davis Strait like this. 2 jets underneath of it.. perhaps phasing. look at this potential energy on the 18z gfs run
  22. Stormchaserchuck1
    Looking good on the snow depth
  23. Stormchaserchuck1
    976mb in Maine.. it starts phasing with the northern system.
  24. Stormchaserchuck1
    Hanging more energy back in the west.. that's one part of what we need.
  25. Stormchaserchuck1
    -PDO has been chipping away so maybe we see it in February. My intuition says probably not, if it were to be a staple mark El Nino feature it probably would have happened at some point by now. We are on Neutral heights for the N. Pacific pattern, El Nino to date.
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