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Stormchaserchuck1

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Everything posted by Stormchaserchuck1

  1. Stormchaserchuck1
    585dm in Salt Lake City in the dead middle of Winter! Quite a Winter they are having out there in the Rockies and West coast, for a much of the area it's the #1 warmest Winter on record to date (since Dec 1). Makes me nervous about a Stronger El Nino next year.
  2. Stormchaserchuck1
    AO is tanked; we are in a cold pattern for a while. I'd watch for when this starts rising up to neutral, for a bigger storm chance - around V-day or right after.
  3. Stormchaserchuck1
    Is the mean Northern Hemisphere going to exceed +1000dm anomaly at 10mb on the daily? Sometimes the PV will split but it will be stronger than average on one side, if not 2 sides of the hemisphere.. those don't really translate to -NAO's +time. In February, the +10mb to -NAO lag starts at +20 days, and at the end of the month it's +15 days.
  4. Stormchaserchuck1
    Another picture
  5. Stormchaserchuck1
    8.2" here now of snow/sleet a
  6. Stormchaserchuck1
    Heavy precip all the way back to Nashville. This thing has a lot of time to go still.
  7. Stormchaserchuck1
    Heavy sleet, 14F. I just measured 7.8" of snow/sleet.
  8. Stormchaserchuck1
    Starting to mix in with sleet now.
  9. Stormchaserchuck1
    Still all snow here, heavy snow, measured 7" so far.
  10. Stormchaserchuck1
    It was always one of my favorite things, I feel they could have done better though, making it more realistic. It just became about super sayians at a certain point and no real character or plot development. Loved the Namek and Frieza sagas. My facebook has been giving me clips of DragonBallSuper... it's actually pretty good, came out in 2015 I think
  11. Stormchaserchuck1
    Mushrooms enhance you though. Problem was I was too sensitive.. couldnt fall asleep, couldnt sleep. I actually retreated to the back of dark caves in AZ for some time to catch up on rest lol
  12. Stormchaserchuck1
    DBZ? Always bro
  13. Stormchaserchuck1
    The way I remember 1994, we haven't really had anything comparable since. I mean there was only the tips of grass coming through 3" of rock solid ice. Couldn't get my footing. Everything was encapsulated.. I wish we can experience something like that again.. -EPO and +NAO is the ingredients, which we almost have here.. if it wasn't for -3 AO it would probably be more ice and less snow.
  14. Stormchaserchuck1
    I started posting on weather boards when I was 14 in 2001. Had some crazy trips 5-10 years back where I didn't sleep for weeks on end, but I'm good now
  15. Stormchaserchuck1
    I remember crawling on my hands and knees to get up my babysitter's yard to get to her house when I was 6 in 1994.. It was a solid layer of ice. Ice storms are so pretty! Out here in the country it looks scenic when the ice is glistening on the trees. We haven't had a good one in a while. Sleet, fz rain, whatever it is.. bring it!!
  16. Stormchaserchuck1
    18z Hrr again looks like all snow Baltimore-north. Might stay that way for the duration as it looks like it transfers the coastal fast/south again. The RAP and Hrr specialize as short term models, better accuracy within 24-36 hours, but it looks like 12"+ Baltimore north.
  17. Stormchaserchuck1
    15z RAP is pretty far south with the ice/snow line fwiw. quicker/further south transfer to the coastal. Baltimore has 12" snow depth at hr51 and still quite a bit of storm to go.
  18. Stormchaserchuck1
    Comparing the 18z Hrr 38hr to 12z GFS 44hr.. the whole trough is further SW along the west coast by a decent difference, from the NW to the Baja energy. Some things to work out here in the short term.
  19. Stormchaserchuck1
    I regret not trading it.. 1 futures contract would have profited something like +20k. CPC nailed it. Their long range forecast vs futures and commodities is something I am going to continue to keep track of in the future.. Or if I'm forecasting something that has volatility. I was before saying Natural Gas at $3 was cheap, and $4.50-$5.00 is the over/under mark for a cold Winter or not.... it just went into the "cold Winter" range.
  20. Stormchaserchuck1
    @GaWx Did you see that Natural Gas jumped like 86% in the last 4 days? I just checked it, and thought it was something else when the price was $5.55. It was $3.10 at the close on Friday.
  21. Stormchaserchuck1
    I stay all snow on the 12z GFS. Too bad it's an outlier, but this -3 AO within days of the coldest time of year has to hold some cold I would think.
  22. Stormchaserchuck1
    https://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-area.php
  23. Stormchaserchuck1
    Yeah, 2 years in a row the extreme -PDO Fall was not a warm Winter pattern in the east. The only other comparable -PDO Fall in magnitude was 55-56 and that was a cold Dec-Jan in the east, too.
  24. Stormchaserchuck1
    6z GFS vs 12z NAM, same time
  25. Stormchaserchuck1
    Cold Winter showed its hand when the Arctic was freezing this Summer.. In August we went sub-5000dm, which was the coldest N. Hemisphere H5 on record for Aug. You know the eastern US starting cooling down around that time, too. I ran the analogs, and it fits a perfect warm-to-cold season progression since 2012.
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