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Stormchaserchuck1

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About Stormchaserchuck1

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    Fallston, MD

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  1. Stormchaserchuck1
    SPC is a little out of touch.. too much model riding and not enough outside observations. I didn't even realize that we are under a MRGL risk for severe storms today.
  2. Stormchaserchuck1
    I actually had a dream that the CDC Daily climate composites pages were working again
  3. Stormchaserchuck1
    90 here at 11:10am!
  4. Stormchaserchuck1
    Indian Ocean has probably warmed the most of every sea region of the globe.
  5. Stormchaserchuck1
    PNA just not budging with this El Nino May could be the 4th consecutive month with -pna Not really much of a consistency rolled forward, historically.
  6. Stormchaserchuck1
    Wish every day could be like today
  7. Stormchaserchuck1
    ^You were right about it shifting east, like other Strong Nino's. I have seen cold pools get stuck in the middle-west for the last few years, and kind of thought this year could follow the same trend with Nino 4 getting warm so early.
  8. Stormchaserchuck1
    Nino vs the dry pattern
  9. Stormchaserchuck1
    Up to 94 here in the woods.
  10. Stormchaserchuck1
    I just saw my first cloud!
  11. Stormchaserchuck1
    Hmm I'm not sure it's a wet pattern right now
  12. Stormchaserchuck1
    91F.. I'm usually 5-7 degrees cooler than DCA, not today.
  13. Stormchaserchuck1
    AO and NAO are usually about 0.85 correlated, but they are running apart this year: AO is -1.0 for 2026 so far, NAO is +4.4. March AO was +2 though. It has basically exactly neutral correlation April to May, and March to May [1948-2020]. There is a slight -EPO correlation actually March +AO to May- May is a little cooler temp wise in the CONUS after +AO March, which we have seen at least in the 1st half.
  14. Stormchaserchuck1
    88 here at 12:20. Not a cloud in the sky
  15. Stormchaserchuck1
    Nino 1+2 was close to 0.0 in 09-10. It was also the #1 most -NAO Winter on record, going back to the mid-1800s. Kind of interesting that we are batting 0-22 on Winter NAO months > +1.11 starting after just 1 year after that.
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