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Stormchaserchuck1

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About Stormchaserchuck1

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    Fallston, MD

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  1. Stormchaserchuck1
    Just haven't been able to get Summer Arctic ridging since the ice melt peak in 2012. 15 years is impressive for that record to hold, in this exponentially warming world.
  2. Stormchaserchuck1
    Northern Russia gets 4980dm in mid-June tomorrow. Pretty impressive!
  3. Stormchaserchuck1
    Probably my best thunderstorm of the year ongoing
  4. Stormchaserchuck1
    Ever since the Solar Max in May 2024, where a weakened magnetic field brought the aurora borealis very far towards the central part of the Earth - The warm season has been getting this cold 60-90N. At the end of last September, I think we had the lowest 500mb on record for the month in the N. Hemisphere, all time.
  5. Stormchaserchuck1
    There is some overlap, but ENSO and the PDO effect different areas in the Pacific - ENSO is further east and PDO is further west.
  6. Stormchaserchuck1
    I made a series of posts regarding the Winter, and things to watch out for later this year, in the Mid-Atlantic forum, starting here:
  7. Stormchaserchuck1
    Subsurface is warming again. Eastern subsurface is about to pop a +8c on TAO/Triton. If normal water is 65F, that's almost 80 degrees, 100 meters below the surface. In La nina it can possibly cool down to 55F, so it must be interesting the type of wildlife that has evolved there, along the equator.
  8. Stormchaserchuck1
    I'm saying exactly that the current price is $3.14, and usually $5.00 is the over/under mark for a good Winter. Of course anything can happen between now and the Winter, but if you think it's going to go up then trade it.
  9. Stormchaserchuck1
    I don't think so, we are still "evening out" a 27-year period of more than 50% La Nina's (RONI). And the subsurface in the west is not as cold as 1997 was at this time. You seem to think we are overdue for a Strong La Nina but I think +ENSO is the tendency going forward as it's more about the cumulative, so if a Moderate Nina is the average follow up of a Super Nino, I think it will only be a Weak Nina. We'll see.
  10. Stormchaserchuck1
    +ENSO tends to be more borderline, where -ENSO can flatten out the Atlantic ridge in -EPO.
  11. Stormchaserchuck1
    We've had 13 straight February's with +NAO. 10/13 were >+1.00. Something has to give there. For comparison, our last Winter one month (DJFM) with NAO <-1.11 was Dec 2010.
  12. Stormchaserchuck1
    Before last Winter, PHL's lowest 7-year snowfall on record was 13.3"/yr. 2018-2025 was 10.5"/yr, a pretty big difference. They were the epicenter of the snow drought but I think had a near average season last year.
  13. Stormchaserchuck1
    Another severe wx pattern setting up, ahead of a strong trough
  14. Stormchaserchuck1
    Maybe something related to a -AMO phase is trying to take hold as @snowman19 has mentioned several times. Hard to say if it's that or persistent +NAO/AO.
  15. Stormchaserchuck1
    It worked last December.
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