Stormchaserchuck1
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Yeah, the Nov correlation maps are stronger over NAO area than N. Pacific. You're right. But the pattern does start in October and over enough examples might not skip a month (although Oct is further west with the pattern - you're right). -
I've already told you this, but the historical ENSO-N. Pacific trough correlation is -0.38 for Oct-Nov combined and -0.32 for Dec.
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The Nino is not impacting the N. Pacific that much. If we can get a sustained -AO period, I don't see why it can't get cool, even Dec.
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Ravens have the 2nd highest paid defense in the NFL Top 10 Most Expensive NFL Defenses in 2026 thesportscast.net Pittsburgh Steelers – $195.4 M (64.9% of cap) Baltimore Ravens – $187.4 M (62.2%) Chicago Bears – $177.9 M (59.1%) New York Giants – $174.7 M (58.0%) New England Patriots – $169.0 M (56.1%) Washington Commanders – $165.8 M (55.1%)
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3 years ago the Orioles and Ravens were both #1 seed. Maybe you're referring to the Ravens going 8-9 last year and the Orioles finishing 4 games under .500? That's not that bad dude lol. The Baltimore market for attendance, baseball and football, is a little below average over the long run. Everyone wants their team to win 75% of games, but the difference from city-to-city is so small that you can't really expect that unless you are LA or NY.
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The offense looks healthy: Zay Flowers is breaking out as one of the best WR's in the league. Lamar is still MVP material if he would run more. Henry averages 1 more ypc at the end of the season than beginning. I can't see them rebuilding when they have that. Lamar would go to a team like Miami and likely win a super bowl there lol. The O-line isn't as bad as everyone says I don't think, I haven't slowed the tape down and watched each one individually but it did seem like Lamar had time this season. The problem is Huntley can't throw beyond 5yds so they stack the line.
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Best regular season then worst in the playoffs. They really should have had an outdoor stadium lol
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The defense looks bad. So many missed tackles.
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Ravens about to be outscored 28-0 in the 2nd half at home. That's a coaching issue.
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It's not as simple as that. There's an offense and a defense. Cincy is projected -1 if the Ravens kick a FG there
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Oct/Nov 1972 had a warm Stratosphere But there are only 5 Super Nino analogs since satellite data in 1948 so it's not like you can say something that usually happens 10-15% of the time not happening is statistically relevant. It's interesting that we are diverging from the Super warm Dec - 2015
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Burrow has 0 points in the last 6 quarters against Baltimore
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I think @GaWx has done some research that it is tied into cooler mid-Winter conditions, I think -AO tendency. We had one around the same time last year, and I believe he used it to forecast a cooler Dec and Jan. I think we want November Stratosphere warmings because they correlate with -AO 30-45 days later. Something not a lot of people know though is in the DJFM mean, warm Stratosphere has direct correlation with above average temps, in the Northeast, US, and cold Stratosphere - below average temps, in the mean-Winter-total
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I posted on a Western US wx board in 2024 and 2025. One of the members there was obsessed with the CFS, kept posting from Aug-Oct several runs showing -38F departure monthly, yes -38f, in the PNW for Dec in 2024. Then it did it again in 2025, -38F! Dec 2024 and 2025. Seattle/Portland, etc. This is how it verified
