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Stormchaserchuck1

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  1. Stormchaserchuck1
    It will probably go Super, I just don't think it will be an all time record breaking event on the RONI. Were also not seeing a +PNA, or -NPH in the next 15 days.
  2. Stormchaserchuck1
    Daily RONI is still below Weak Nino threshold of +0.5? Only 1991 had a May RONI +0.5 to become a Super Nino, all the others were averaging ~+0.8 by now.
  3. Stormchaserchuck1
    @CAPE I dont get it either Chargers RB Keaton Mitchell calls out Ravens for spurning him in free agency They aren't able to extend Lamar either. He knows that he's worth more than Jordan Love, Tua, Dak Prescott, etc.
  4. Stormchaserchuck1
    ENSO vs PNA VP
  5. Stormchaserchuck1
    That's what I am saying about 1997, Nino 4 has warmed a lot year-to-year since then. It will be interesting to see if it resembles west-based Nino characteristics or if the warming in Nino 4 is something else.
  6. Stormchaserchuck1
    0z EPS looks close to mid 90s, Tues May 19.
  7. Stormchaserchuck1
    Nice 3 day run of -SOI 14 May 2026 1009.81 1010.30 -15.45 -5.70 -0.07 13 May 2026 1010.40 1010.50 -12.47 -5.50 0.32 12 May 2026 1011.99 1012.00 -11.78
  8. Stormchaserchuck1
    Where you been buddy? We miss you! Down about the MEI coming in lower?
  9. Stormchaserchuck1
    Nice pattern coming up Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Monday Sunny, with a high near 90. Tuesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 91.
  10. Stormchaserchuck1
    The 8 driest El Nino's with a RONI peak >+1.1 came out ... 2 El Nino - 3 Neutral - 3 La Nina the year after [27-28] ... the average RONI that next year is -0.15/yr.
  11. Stormchaserchuck1
    We might need a +5c El Nino to get that North Pacific High area - low pressure strong and persistent anomaly like 82-83 and 97-98. Right now I think the North pacific 500mb pattern may match 23-24 going forward more than other Stronger Nino's
  12. Stormchaserchuck1
    EPS Days 11-15 looks nothing like May El Nino in the Pacific We may be running back 23-24 as far as the Pacific pattern goes
  13. Stormchaserchuck1
    Per RONI Nino 3.4, no Super El Nino was ever this low in mid-May. Might be Super per ONI and Strong, RONI.
  14. Stormchaserchuck1
    You are really latching onto the far east part of this 2nd Kelvin wave. When the next one moves across, warm subsurface anomalies will recenter - overall they are further west in the mean than 1997.
  15. Stormchaserchuck1
    I don't think this one is going to be as east as 1997. That one hugged South America The forcing with this one may actually be quite a bit more west Nino 4 is much different now than in 1997
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