Stormchaserchuck1

Looks like the 12z NAM has snow on the FL panhandle tomorrow, Meanwhile DC and Baltimore are rain. How do you guys like that!

NAM and Hrr were way off yesterday with the Sunday storm though.. I guess a little out of their range

Just started snowing pretty moderately here.

New 3-4 week CPC keeps us cold to mid February "Winter before an El Nino the next year" has been working out great this Winter so far. Here it is for February:

0z EPS is frigid Jan 27-29!

Individual ensemble members are all over the place in the medium range (0z). It's been really rare to have a wall of strong High pressures in the Great Lakes/southern Canada, while a high qpf low cuts into the Mid-Atlantic or Northeast. Call it a decadal pattern. Let's see if we can break it!

Tapered back to flurries here. Line gaining some strength in western Va. Short term models have it intensifying about 10am.

Big time -AO on 0z GFS ensembles hr96-300. probably <-2 std. 180-192hr to me looks like big ice somewhere as there is arctic blocking/ridging, and the PV underneath of it near the Hudson Bay and SE Canada, then a ridge riding over it in the Mid-Atlantic from south-based+NAO. -AO's are our best index pattern for snow though, so it's possible it's snow north of DC/Balt in the normal climate zones and ice south.. still way far ways out.. it can go either way but with a <-2 AO less chance it's rain, imo. See if that part holds.

It started actually at a pretty good rate. Very lite dusting on things right now.

Light snow has started here!

I'm under moderate greens and still nothing here, radar looks healthy though. I'm hoping for 1"

9z RAP is a major hit for Sunday

Yeah.. I mean they are big misses

12z Hrr and NAM want nothing to do with the 2nd system

Whoa! 2-3" snow depth tomorrow between Westminster and Hagerstown on the 12z NAM