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About Stormchaserchuck1

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Fallston, MD
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Sky was covered in chemtrail clouds today for the first time in a long time. I guess that means we'll go wetter in a few weeks to months.
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Told you it was a dry pattern. Imagine if it wasn't El Nino. May is our cloudiest month, total clear sky days last month (23/31 or something) is a giveaway.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This is a strong Polar Vortex over the Arctic circle for the next 13 days! Since 2012, May-Aug SLP anomaly 60-90N has flipped in the Winter every time. That's a Winter -AO signal (but it's still early)! -
I've been thinking about starting a thread but I just don't have high enough hopes for the Winter right now
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Boy would I love a -EPO in Super El Nino. That's probably the best combo. CPC is disregarding the CANSIPS completely in their seasonal outlook, and 1 year ago around this time CANSIPS had a large part of the Midwest/Great Lakes -4 to -6 for the month of July at 0.0 month lead and it ended up positive departure across the board. It did do well in lead the last 2 Winter's though, although severely underestimating the warmth in the Mountain West, which I don't think anything got actually.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
2015's big +PDO is starting to diverge us in the NW, US through the 2nd half of May and now heading into June. Watch out expecting a big Winter month or two like that year, because the PDO was >+1 in 2015. Favorable NAO can help though, of course. -
El Nino isn't coupling with PNA or the North Pacific High so far. -PDO hit some lowest monthly numbers in 150 years, over the last few years. Interesting battle this Summer.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
12z EPS really warmed up over the Great Lakes/Northeast in the medium/long term. Anti-El Nino. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
CPC continuing to go with El Nino jet stream
