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WX-PA

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Everything posted by WX-PA

  1. WX-PA
    600 hr GEFS?..Where did you pull this out from? 2 weeks is not even accurate.I know your trying to prove a point it's going to be warm. Fine, get it.It's a warm winter.Doesn't mean it can't snow in January.
  2. WX-PA
    I don't care what the models say it will snow in January.I'll take climo anytime..not saying it will be a big storm, but snow will accumulate sometime in the month.
  3. WX-PA
    Nope its going to snow sometime in January and February..Very unlikely we will just have a trace the next two months.
  4. WX-PA
    And phase one is a cold phase for us..lol..so what does it really mean? Really can we say it's just a part of the equation..or maybe because of the strong nino it really doesn't matter?
  5. WX-PA
    Well if MJO going into favorable phases doesn't work, what will? It's a total disaster if you like winter weather. I can;t imagine not getting a snowfall these next 2 and a half months.But I'm starting to think it's possible which is scary.
  6. WX-PA
    That's unheard of for this time a year. Man what's going on?
  7. WX-PA
    Boxer day blizzard, one of my favorite December snowstorms.
  8. WX-PA
    Back in the 70's and 80's a 3 inch snowstorm was a big deal..Believe me the climate between 02-18 was not NYC snow climate..Again it's not this bad..but 20 inches a year is common.
  9. WX-PA
    Nope it was weak, 65-66 was strong..I just pointed this out because he said ALL ell nino's
  10. WX-PA
    77-78.65-66,..that's incorrect
  11. WX-PA
    66-67.95-96, and 10-11 were La Nina winters.As long as their not strong we can do fine..I'd rather have a strong La Nina then strong el nino..Strong el nino's are the worst..no cold air and strong pacific jet. However they are known for that one big snowstorm usually in late Jan or february.Example 83 and 16.
  12. WX-PA
    If the 360hr ensemble forecast is correct..it can still snow with that look in Januray..although a trough in the west there is really no se ridge to speak of, unlike last year. I think it snows here the first half of January.
  13. WX-PA
    Winter of 90-91 was very warm but it had near normal snow.
  14. WX-PA
    Early January doesn't to me seemed challenged for snow...Looks like normal to a little bit below temps ..all you need is a SW..I don't know why that wouldn't work for this time of year.
  15. WX-PA
    Great post!
  16. WX-PA
    If your looking for a solid medium forecast looks like day 5-7 are solid now. Thats a big change from 20 years ago. 7-12 day forecasts on the ensembles can show the right pattern but details are hard .12-16 days forecast even on the ensemles can be inaccurate. And the weeklies especailly after week 3 are not good.But it sure beats the 70's when 3 day forecasts were inaccurate.
  17. WX-PA
    It's amazing we need luck to get snow in the northeast in January. If that's the case everybody give up your hobby folks..It's a different climate.
  18. WX-PA
    Strong nino..to be expected in December. No big surprise..We still have 3 winter months to go.
  19. WX-PA
    What's IOD?...seems like that's another way for it not to snow here?..lol
  20. WX-PA
    If the mjo going into strong phase 8 and 1 doesn't produce snow this year..then that's it for this year..I'm serious!
  21. WX-PA
    That was a BIG eevent. Lived on the south shore in Western Suffolk at the time. Now out in the country of Central PA..might see a wind gust of 30 if lucky. Be safe,guys!
  22. WX-PA
    I think early January ends it Don.
  23. WX-PA
    This has been the worst drought of my life..But they always say things even out to normal in weather. We'll see.
  24. WX-PA
    Now this should work going into January
  25. WX-PA
    Why do you even respond to this guy?. You know what his agenda is..how many years has he done this on the message boards?
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