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WX-PA

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Everything posted by WX-PA

  1. 66-67.95-96, and 10-11 were La Nina winters.As long as their not strong we can do fine..I'd rather have a strong La Nina then strong el nino..Strong el nino's are the worst..no cold air and strong pacific jet. However they are known for that one big snowstorm usually in late Jan or february.Example 83 and 16.
  2. If the 360hr ensemble forecast is correct..it can still snow with that look in Januray..although a trough in the west there is really no se ridge to speak of, unlike last year. I think it snows here the first half of January.
  3. Winter of 90-91 was very warm but it had near normal snow.
  4. Early January doesn't to me seemed challenged for snow...Looks like normal to a little bit below temps ..all you need is a SW..I don't know why that wouldn't work for this time of year.
  5. If your looking for a solid medium forecast looks like day 5-7 are solid now. Thats a big change from 20 years ago. 7-12 day forecasts on the ensembles can show the right pattern but details are hard .12-16 days forecast even on the ensemles can be inaccurate. And the weeklies especailly after week 3 are not good.But it sure beats the 70's when 3 day forecasts were inaccurate.
  6. It's amazing we need luck to get snow in the northeast in January. If that's the case everybody give up your hobby folks..It's a different climate.
  7. Strong nino..to be expected in December. No big surprise..We still have 3 winter months to go.
  8. What's IOD?...seems like that's another way for it not to snow here?..lol
  9. If the mjo going into strong phase 8 and 1 doesn't produce snow this year..then that's it for this year..I'm serious!
  10. I think early January ends it Don.
  11. This has been the worst drought of my life..But they always say things even out to normal in weather. We'll see.
  12. Now this should work going into January
  13. Why do you even respond to this guy?. You know what his agenda is..how many years has he done this on the message boards?
  14. Oh my God the world is melting...I have no ice left in my freezer!
  15. Years that have temps in the 60's in December in the 80's..1980 2 days,1982 3 days over 70, 1984 2 days one of them 75, 1988 1 day
  16. Phase 8 of MJO. Don't see a torch towards Christmas and after ,Monday could reach 60 in some area's
  17. Euro does not look like a torch Christmas week here.
  18. Normal high today in NYC is 47..it's not a torch
  19. Why are we freakin hyping 97-98?..lol..it didn't snow at all in the winter months..I mean I think some here are jumping the gun.
  20. Don't tell that to people in Feb 83 and Jan 06.
  21. PNA looks possible for Christmas week..trough in the east ridge in the west. Problem is no real cold air. So yea might be a little above normal..chances of snow that week are mininal but not impossible. But as of now it won't be a blow torch.
  22. All that red you are showing, what is the actual departure for the last week of December?
  23. The airmass could still be marginal for snow even in December.I would find it virtually impossible for us not to get snow again for another year. Winter officially didn't even begin yet.
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