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Wow

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Everything posted by Wow

  1. Wow
    GFS opened up the wave and gave up. It's gonna happen in this range. Everyone remain seated.
  2. Wow
    0z NAM starting that off well
  3. Wow
    That looks nice. Soundings are solid.
  4. Wow
    Looks like the 12z run mostly
  5. Wow
    I'm 50% sure it'll be one or the other.
  6. Wow
    0z NAM digging the wave further SW at 33 hrs... More like the 6z run and closer to the 18z ICON .
  7. Wow
    Just without the frigid air
  8. Wow
    ..until the 0z models come in
  9. Wow
    movement of the precip per the 18z GEFS
  10. Wow
    fully stacked ULL to surface low over SE NC at 96 hrs. Beautiful.
  11. Wow
    18z GFS slower with the ULL energy as well, same as the NAM so the trough axis is a bit more positive at 66
  12. Wow
    The trough axis stays positive longer.. that'll help with WAA and any warm noses ahead of the ULL.
  13. Wow
  14. Wow
    NAM is way south with the low at 81...
  15. Wow
    NAM about 50 miles south of of 12z position of sfc low .. in the gulf now, S of Mobile @ 75
  16. Wow
    18z NAM a little slower with the ULL progression but it's still digging well south.. The base of it nearly to New Orleans @ 66 hrs. Sfc low over MBY at 69
  17. Wow
    Nevermind the snow maps, the setup is there for a pretty widespread event for NC/VA
  18. Wow
    Yeah, the parallel GFS shows how the ULL will keep the precip over the area longer
  19. Wow
    Yes it's all how they are interpreting the profiles. here N of CLT it's only marginal at the surface... a decent precip rate and it's all snow easily.. and based on the strength of that ULL there should be while the low is passing under us.
  20. Wow
    With the cutoff ULL I'd expect to see a lot more precip build back from CLT to RDU but you're likely not going to see that get picked up on the models until we're within 48-60 hrs
  21. Wow
    Beautiful. ULL tracking over central GA. Gonna see some good stuff outta this... Verbatim N of I-85 as usual
  22. Wow
    Boom
  23. Wow
    Yeah, 0z GFS further south with the sfc low at 90
  24. Wow
    LOL yeah that was a raw deal for the immediate foothills. With the 50/50 in place that shouldn't be a problem here. Sfc temps already in the mid 30's before the precip even arrives per NAM
  25. Wow
    The ICON is a pile of Scheisse
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