Wow
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I think we need to make a thread dedicated to this run. Dear God.. it's beautiful. The 500mb time lapse is absolute perfection.
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here ya go wx weenies
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yup, i'll take it
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The problem with Sunday is the northern wave with accompanying arctic high has trending slower so it only has marginal in-situ sfc cold air to work with so i think it going limit the snow to higher elevations even if the precip from the southern wave makes it up here. If the northern wave pushed through first it's a different story.. it's all about how fast the HP moves in to determine which southern waves are going to make a big play.
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Euro still on board with the second storm. Check out the HP!
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Oh i'm liking the looks of this now with the Euro keeping on track. Two good shots here.. Ideally, I'd like the first wave to slow and string out to allow a weak wave move across to minimize WAA and have a classic overrunning storm for the mtns & piedmont. Then top it off with wave #2 which will most definitely be a classic Miller A mover with that strong confluence zone forcing the sfc low to move from the gulf coast up the SE coast.
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18z GFS trending the right direction..
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It's been great seeing the Atlantic come back to a sustained seasonal -NAO after several years but then losing the Pacific to lock out the arctic air is just downright insulting. The last hope here something like this where the PNA ridge finally breaks through...
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Oh yeah that look at the end of the Euro run would rival Jan 88 in terms of a cold snow.. NC in the teens and single digits ahead of the storm.
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the key here is that SW wave breaking off rather than fully phasing in and dumping everything out west. that will kickstart a great setup for us.
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... then the SW wave kicks out post arctic high...
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nice setup + arctic outbreak behind it
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Big ol' bust with the stubborn CAD winning out. Forecast high of 64 turned to a high of 46. Just needed to flip those numbers around.
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Ok i'm back.
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hey i wasn't doubting that.. just that is took all day to actually see it!
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Gigantic flakes coming down
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flakes just starting to come down now
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closer to downtown.. nada yeah i know it's coming
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will be rain with snow mixed in.. el busto
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haven't seen a flake
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41.8/33 cloudy-ish?
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Finally a jackpot run for me!
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Dang the 0z NAM really digging the ULL south..
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That's some serious NAMage over the southern foothills
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verbatim the snow is confined to the mtns
