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Wow

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Everything posted by Wow

  1. Florence decided really late to pull a Hugo track.
  2. Well this one is going to hard to pin down.
  3. The GFS gets a clue.. poor thing
  4. Obviously it depends. This is a very difficult storm to model with it potentially stalling out. Depending where it drifts will determine a lot where the biggest rainfalls occur, obviously. Wind-wise, a northern SC hit would likely be the worst case.
  5. Indeed.. there is still a good bit of complexity here to easily shift things 100 or more miles in either direction. SC to VA are all equally in the crosshairs IMO
  6. Not being political here.. just a friendly mockery of his tweeting skills. Take care down there.
  7. Indeed. While seeing the 0z Euro precip totals for WNC was quite a breathtaking thing to see this morning, in reality I don't want to see that again on a model run. I'll gladly take a nice soaking rain with some gusty winds on the west side.
  8. After Irma, I'm still giving equal chances from CHS to the OBX
  9. I know we've heard the name Hugo a few times with this one, but if the Euro is anywhere near correct, this would be far, far worse than Hugo for WNC with the flooding.
  10. The Irma experience is on my mind with that call.
  11. Still have a hunch this will end up a SC hit. I think the N turn will be delayed.
  12. More likely than not but could be biased after watching Irma continue to defy model consensus and keep pushing west.
  13. This may have Hugo-like qualities as it may be pushing well inland with a more westerly than northerly path. This isn't like your usual storm hitting NC from a recurve path which keeps effects close to the coast. But unlike Hugo, this will be slowing down and could turn this into more of a flooding issue rather than the wind.
  14. 18z GFS farther SW compared to 12z at 54.. FWIW
  15. It would bring a lot of widespread flooding if it's going to stall out over the middle of the state.
  16. Wilmington to Winston-Salem...
  17. Irma pushed me to buy one last year so it definitely works.
  18. See ya in the banter thread. BTW an obs thread for this event has been created. We're that close.
  19. And that's true. The only trouble area with temps will be at the surface mainly. The LP is weak and little WAA to worry about. It's either rain or a heavy, wet snow.
  20. Well this is the GFS but it's feeling similar to last January's event where whoever is on the northern edge of the r/n is going to get a big wet snow storm.
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