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Everything posted by Wow
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Probably better to look at the QPF amounts to see how it's coming up with so much snowfall. Widespread 2+" of liquid.. that's definitely in the 18"+ range. And given how robust these STJ waves have been this past fall season I wouldn't doubt it. Just need the cold air to make it happen.
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Here's the 120 hr panel to get a good look at the healthy CAD high over the NE. Very good.
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I'm in the bullseye with 30-32" lol
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I know, right? I came oh so close in the Feb '14 storm with that def band but only measured 8".. too wet and too much compression!
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Snowing in W half of NC for nearly 48 hrs per the FV3.. from Sat afternoon to Monday afternoon
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Yes, but the precip shield is further north
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FV3 is a monster. Plenty of cold air. Looks like all snow on a line at and north from GSP to CLT to RDU
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No, you want to see a healthy HP over the NE to funnel in cold, dry air ahead of and during the storm.
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Overall setup still supported for a sig storm for the SE... Don't get hung up on the details yet. 12z GFS was weaker with the s/w... thus the more suppressed solution. Also was dragging its feet on building in the CAD high.
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12z GFS further south but also slower with the northern s/w to drag the HP east
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0z Euro total QPF. It's juiced up.
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winter cancel
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This is correct. Our CAD high is not in place.
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Hourly up to 90 hrs
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For our area, generally. For the MA, it's all over the place!
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It's actually very similar to the 12z GFS with the track close to the coast
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Interestingly enough, the setup has some similarities to the '04 storm... just a bit weaker and further north with the trough
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2/2004 as I recall it was modeled always as a good precip maker with temp issues but in the last 72 hrs it trended colder and colder with each run.
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It's flatter with the wave a little longer before it captures it off the coast... 12z was a bit faster wrapping it up and keeping it closer to the coast. Minor differences for this range as the overall setup is the same.
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over 30 hour event possibly.. lol
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Wow.. at 180.. nearly stalled off SC.. snowing over most of NC
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Cut off low... pulls it close to the SC coastline
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Flatter wave... more west to east r/s line... good for eastern areas of NC
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Overall similar setup just further N with the sfc low .. better precip shield extending from NC to KS
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Looks like the Wunderground forecast algorithms have ingested the latest models.. lol