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Wow

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Everything posted by Wow

  1. Probably better to look at the QPF amounts to see how it's coming up with so much snowfall. Widespread 2+" of liquid.. that's definitely in the 18"+ range. And given how robust these STJ waves have been this past fall season I wouldn't doubt it. Just need the cold air to make it happen.
  2. Here's the 120 hr panel to get a good look at the healthy CAD high over the NE. Very good.
  3. I'm in the bullseye with 30-32" lol
  4. I know, right? I came oh so close in the Feb '14 storm with that def band but only measured 8".. too wet and too much compression!
  5. Snowing in W half of NC for nearly 48 hrs per the FV3.. from Sat afternoon to Monday afternoon
  6. Yes, but the precip shield is further north
  7. FV3 is a monster. Plenty of cold air. Looks like all snow on a line at and north from GSP to CLT to RDU
  8. No, you want to see a healthy HP over the NE to funnel in cold, dry air ahead of and during the storm.
  9. Overall setup still supported for a sig storm for the SE... Don't get hung up on the details yet. 12z GFS was weaker with the s/w... thus the more suppressed solution. Also was dragging its feet on building in the CAD high.
  10. 12z GFS further south but also slower with the northern s/w to drag the HP east
  11. 0z Euro total QPF. It's juiced up.
  12. This is correct. Our CAD high is not in place.
  13. For our area, generally. For the MA, it's all over the place!
  14. It's actually very similar to the 12z GFS with the track close to the coast
  15. Interestingly enough, the setup has some similarities to the '04 storm... just a bit weaker and further north with the trough
  16. 2/2004 as I recall it was modeled always as a good precip maker with temp issues but in the last 72 hrs it trended colder and colder with each run.
  17. It's flatter with the wave a little longer before it captures it off the coast... 12z was a bit faster wrapping it up and keeping it closer to the coast. Minor differences for this range as the overall setup is the same.
  18. over 30 hour event possibly.. lol
  19. Wow.. at 180.. nearly stalled off SC.. snowing over most of NC
  20. Cut off low... pulls it close to the SC coastline
  21. Flatter wave... more west to east r/s line... good for eastern areas of NC
  22. Overall similar setup just further N with the sfc low .. better precip shield extending from NC to KS
  23. Looks like the Wunderground forecast algorithms have ingested the latest models.. lol
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