I tell ya this is following the entire month of Jan 2000 to a tee. Here, there were 3 events... First event put down 3-4" , next event a few days later put down a dusting to an 1", then the big one.... East. Didn't get a single flake.
Watch the energy which is trying to phase into the southern s/w.. it's trended faster recently but if it starts reversing that trend it's going to be a bigger phase... e.g CMC/Euro runs from late Sat/early yesterday
first wave still the one to watch... Jan 2000 sorta setup with last minute phase potential.. but if that doesn't pan out then there's another one to take its place
well that was an epic run of the gfs lol. Next weekend's storm sets off a major arctic outbreak and pushes the arctic boundary down to the gulf, potentially setting up some more fun down the road.
The worst is seeing the short range models like the HRRR show an awesome setup then trend to the global models. The 12z HRRR looks amazing at 48 hrs but it will without a doubt trend toward the rest of the models.