Wow
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Everything posted by Wow
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you'll be fine
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Yes, now please go away. You serve absolutely no purpose.
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Oh yes, it's snow>sleet>rain>freezing rain
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Trust me I've been there. My motto: Sleet destroys dreams.
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Freezing rain forecast from FV3. So GSO gets 15" of snow plus 0.68" of freezing rain. LOL
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I hereby proclaim storm mode. Who wants to be a mod?
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He's only staring at Wake Co.
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It jogged north for your area, yes, a bit.
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Kuchera map for the FV3 thru 54..
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I'm more skeptical of the cold than the QPF given we just had the wettest fall on record.
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This goes out to WidreMann...
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Verbatim, changover to mix/sleet south of I-40 at 45 hrs
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A lot wetter over TN compared to 12z at 42.. then again also slower
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Nah... really didn't lose that much to virga
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Precip looks much more generous compared to 12z at 39
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Ah.. and at 36 hrs.. the temps start to crash
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Need precip to really move in and crash the temps.. it's slower, thus the warmer temps
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850 temps are within a degree or 2 of 0... close
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Euro thru 60 hrs
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FV3 trend @41 hrs...
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NAM has caved to the FV3 and its allies. Flatter, weaker southern wave. Less WAA, less GOM convection moisture robbing thus no dry slot. Good stuff.
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The s/w is weaker and flatter... This will certainly keep the ice away and make this more rain vs. snow. Looks more like the GFS in that sense
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FWIW, 850 line near the NC/SC border
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The "finger" means more about trajectory then amounts IMO. I'd prefer to see it south and more west to east. That tells me more suppressed (not necessarily weaker!) and less worry about WAA.
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Despite the N trend from early yesterday, the GEFS popped back and is even further south prior to that trend
