
RU848789
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Everything posted by RU848789
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As of about 2 am, we have 2.25" OTG at 28F in Metuchen. That's 3/4" the last hour and radar/intensity have let up a bit, but I'd still guess we have 1/4-1/2" per hour snow. Hoping we make it to my 3" prediction for my house, which we should as long as the precip from PA doesn't dry up - it's on the lighter side, but a few hours would do it. Regardless, what a beautiful snowfall - at its height we had about 1"/hr rates for over an hour with very nice, fluffy, dry, but smallish dendrites.
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As of about 2 am, we have 2.25" OTG at 28F in Metuchen. That's 3/4" the last hour and radar/intensity have let up a bit, but I'd still guess we have 1/4-1/2" per hour snow. Hoping we make it to my 3" prediction for my house, which we should as long as the precip from PA doesn't dry up - it's on the lighter side, but a few hours would do it.
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Just went for a Jebwalk - stunningly gorgeous out there right now in the absolute quiet of the middle of the night with a fresh blanket of white. Up to 1.5" in Metuchen as of 1:00 am, as it's still snowing moderately with nice small/medium dendrites. Seems pretty likely we'll make it to 2.5", but not sure how much more snow we'll get after about 2:30 am. Would love to make 3-4" and could with even 3-4 hours of lighter snow after this band finishes coming through in the next 30 min or so. Not a single station in NJ (or even DE) above 32F, so I assume this is all snow for everyone which is nice for the folks in SNJ.
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Snow picked up in intensity significantly the last half hour and we now have moderately sized dendrites that likely will give 15-20: ratios. Up to 1.0" at 12:30, which is a 1"/hr rate over the last 30 min. Temp has dropped to 28F
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As of 12:00 am we have 1/2" of pixie dust on the ground here in Metuchen at 30F. Coming down nicely - 6 hours of this gets us 3".
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And so it begins. Light snow started around 10:50 pm and we have a light dusting. 30F here in Metuchen.
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how much did you get?
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2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
RU848789 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
As of 3 pm, we have an even 6.0" of snow in Metuchen, which is actually what I predicted, which is kind of a miracle, given what the models looked like yesterday/last night. Snow is falling lightly and mostly over - could pick up another 1/4" or so. Fantastic, beautiful, easy-to-shovel snowfall - just finished shoveling round 3. As I said earlier, don't wait until after the SuperBowl to shovel as everything will freeze solid with temps in the teens by morning!! Still 32F and once the snow started falling in earnest this morning, cooling the column of air, temps were never above 32F. On to Tuesday, Thursday and maybe Sunday - the pattern that keeps on giving - up to 33.3" this winter. -
The gradient in Philly is unlike anything I've ever seen almost - just look at the snowfall reports below, where elevation and distance from the urban heat island are probably the biggest reasons for the differences. A decent amount of it had to be the heat island, since Cherry Hill, due east of Philly at the same elevation as PIA, reported 2.8" of snow. ...Philadelphia County... Chestnut Hill 6.0 in 0230 PM 02/07 Public (far NW Philly, elev 450') 1 SW Somerton 3.5 in 0224 PM 02/07 Fire Dept/Rescue (far NE Philly, elev 200') 1 NNW Philadelphia 1.0 in 1146 AM 02/07 Public Philadelphia International 0.7 in 0100 PM 02/07 ASOS (far S Philly at the river, elev 35')
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As of 3 pm, we have an even 6.0" of snow in Metuchen, which is actually what I predicted, which is kind of a miracle, given what the models looked like yesterday/last night. Snow is falling lightly and mostly over - could pick up another 1/4" or so. Fantastic, beautiful, easy-to-shovel snowfall - just finished shoveling round 3. As I said earlier, don't wait until after the SuperBowl to shovel as everything will freeze solid with temps in the teens by morning!! Still 32F and once the snow started falling in earnest this morning, cooling the column of air, temps were never above 32F. On to Tuesday, Thursday and maybe Sunday - the pattern that keeps on giving - up to 33.3" this winter.
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At 1:50 pm, we're up to 5.5" as we got 1/2" the past hour. Snow just picked up in intensity, but looks like we're near the end, although I think we'll make it to my prediction of 6" for my house here in Metichen. Still 32F.
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Thanks. A guy on social media is saying 0.0" in Center City, even in a back yard. Hard to believe that. I assume grassy areas still had snow cover in Philly, correct?
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No reports from Philly proper?
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As of 12:50 pm, we're up to 5.0" continuing the 1.5"/hr rate, although the intensity just let up after that, while I was doing my 2nd shovel - again, easy with the wide broom. 32F and seeing a bit of melting on paved surfaces that were plowed and have some blacktop, with the midday Feb sun.
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2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
RU848789 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
As of 12:50 pm, we're up to 5.0" continuing the 1.5"/hr rate, although the intensity just let up after that, while I was doing my 2nd shovel - again, easy with the wide broom. 32F and seeing a bit of melting on paved surfaces that were plowed and have some blacktop, with the midday Feb sun. -
2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
RU848789 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
JFC it's absolutely pouring heavy snow right now - huge gorgeous dendrites. Time for another walk - get outside folks!! -
2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
RU848789 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Pouring snow again the last 30 min, so we're up to 4.25" as of 12:20 pm (1.5"/hr rate) and it's still 32F. 6" is definitely attainable now, looking at that radar. -
2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
RU848789 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Well, we "only" got 1/2" in the last hour, so we're at 3.5" as of 11:50 am with a temp of 32F. Fortunately, the snow has picked back up, so hopefully we can still get to 5-6" before this ends. -
2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
RU848789 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
As of 10:50 am, we're at 3.0" OTG for a rate of 1" per hr over the last 30 min. Just finished an easy "shovel" with the big broom and snow has lightened up a bit, but more is on the way. 31F. Do not wait until after the game to shovel, as it will in the 20s by then and will freeze - and will be in the teens by sunrise. -
2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
RU848789 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
As of 10:20 am, we're up to 2.5" OTG, which continues our 1.5" per hour rate and it's still 31F. While the ratio is decent with good dendrites, the snow is wet enough to pack well, so it's almost snowman time, lol. -
2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
RU848789 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
As of 9:50 am we have 1.75" on the ground, which is 1.5" per hour rates and it's down to 31F. Snowing moderately to heavily now (smaller flakes, so probably lower ratios now). -
2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
RU848789 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Woke up at 8:50 am and went from light snow and a coating to 1" by 9:20 am - that's about 3/4" in the past 30 minutes. Literally pouring huge gorgeous supersaturation-omega-3-fatty-acid snowflakes!! Down to 32F with roads covered. Looks like this could overperform vs. the 0Z models last night, which would be sweet. -
And we got another 1/2" of very light fluffy snow from late evening through the overnight, so that brings me to 18.0' for this storm, which is just shy of my 19" prediction made on Saturday, but I'll take it. That last 1/2" was gone by 10 am though and I think the storm is finally over after 2 days of major snow and 2 more days of lingering light snow. Simply an amazing event.
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Thanks for the intel and insight. Really good point about the models not being static, as they're upgraded fairly frequently (although some of the updates are minor from what I've read), so it probably gets difficult to get a large enough sample size of east coast snowstorms before the next change is made. But if WPC keeps stats, it would be cool to see them.
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That last band of moderate to heavy snow delivered a 1/2" of snow, so we're up to 17.5" for the storm.
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