RU848789

That friggin' subsidence hole killed us for 3 hours. I went from 4.0" at 8:30 am to 5.4" at 11:30 am which is 1/2" per hour vs. the 1.75"/hr I got before 8:30 am and many others in CNJ/NNJ continued to get 1-2"/hr rates. Conservatively, I'm guessing we missed out on at least 2" of snow. Damn. Is coming down good now - could get to 6" if lucky...

As of 11:30 am, it's 33F and snowing moderately with 5.4" OTG, so only 0.4" the last hour, as rates just haven't been great, missing out on the best bands for the last 3 hours; we had 4.0" at 8:30 am, so only 1.5" the last 3 hours while the good bands were giving people 1-2" per hour (we got 1.75"/hr before 8:30 am). Oh well. One last band to go through in the next 30 min or so and if we're lucky we'll get to 6", but not sure, although as I'm typing this the snow has gone to almost heavy for the first time in hours, so maybe.

As of 11:30 am, it's 33F and snowing moderately with 5.4" OTG, so only 0.4" the last hour, as rates just haven't been great, missing out on the best bands for the last 3 hours; we had 4.0" at 8:30 am, so only 1.5" the last 3 hours while the good bands were giving people 1-2" per hour (we got 1.75"/hr before 8:30 am). Oh well. One last band to go through in the next 30 min or so and if we're lucky we'll get to 6", but not sure, although as I'm typing this the snow has gone to almost heavy for the first time in hours, so maybe.

Well we finally got out of that terrible subsidence band the last half hour and picked up about 0.4" to get to 5.0" as of 10:30 am. Temp 33F.

Well we finally got out of that terrible subsidence band the last half hour and picked up about 0.4" to get to 5.0" as of 10:30 am. Temp 33F.

As of 10 am, it's 32F and we have 4.6" of snow, as we only got 0.1" that last half hour being stuck that goddamn subsidence hell hole! We've probably lost 1.5" from that subsidence. About to fill in at least. We only have about 2 more hours of snow, so unless it cranks, my guess is we only get about 6".

As of 10 am, it's 32F and we have 4.6" of snow, as we only got 0.1" that last half hour being stuck that goddamn subsidence hell hole! We've probably lost 1.5" from that subsidence. About to fill in at least. We only have about 2 more hours of snow, so unless it cranks, my guess is we only get about 6".

I can't complain too much as we did way better than most in CNJ/NENJ this year by getting lucky with good bands, which is why I had 7.3" before this storm. Still hoping we get to 6-7" assuming it fills in and we snow well for 2 more hours. We'll see.

As of 9:30 am 4.5" of snow on the ground at 32F as we only got 1/2" over the last hour, due to being stuck in what looks like a subsidence lull. Might keep us from getting above 6" if this doesn't end soon.

As of 9:30 am 4.5" of snow on the ground at 32F as we only got 1/2" over the last hour, due to being stuck in what looks like a subsidence lull. Might keep us from getting above 6" if this doesn't end soon.

I'm assuming that's subsidence and not a dry slot per se - we're stuck in it too

Here's a quote from a friend of mine who was at the NWS in New Mexico for 30+ years: "Been years since I’ve seen the models perform so poorly…especially in the east. One of my coworkers was a modeler in Environment Canada. We were talking how ******* the performance has been with this system. He thought it was because the upper wave went across the Rockies where drag slowed it down and weakened the system. A combination of fewer inputs into the models that far west and the diffuse nature of the upper system (and model resolution) had a big effect in model performance. This is something he has seen before (he is more into theoretical meteorology)."

Been snowing pretty heavily the past hour, so as of 8:30 am we have 4.0" on the ground, so that was 1.75" the past hour, which is ripping. Just did my first driveway/sidewalk shovel and that's heart attack heavy snow, especially the bottom half which has the sleet/wetter snow. The snow the past hour has to be greater than 10:1 ratio snow - much drier and gorgeous dendrites. 32-33F right now.

Been snowing pretty heavily the past hour, so as of 8:30 am we have 4.0" on the ground, so that was 1.75" the past hour, which is ripping. Just did my first driveway/sidewalk shovel and that's heart attack heavy snow, especially the bottom half which has the sleet/wetter snow. The snow the past hour has to be greater than 10:1 ratio snow - much drier and gorgeous dendrites. 32-33F right now.

Puking snow right now - heaviest in 2 years!

Puking snow right now - heaviest in 2 years!

As of 7:30 pm, 32F and snowing heavily with 2.25" OTG, so that's 1" in the last hour. With maybe 4-5 hours of snow left, think we can get to 6" but maybe not my 7.2" forecast unless we really get into a heavy band for awhile.

As of 7:30 pm, 32F and snowing heavily with 2.25" OTG, so that's 1" in the last hour. With maybe 4-5 hours of snow left, think we can get to 6" but maybe not my 7.2" forecast unless we really get into a heavy band for awhile.

It is pretty out there - just got in from a Jebwalk - lots of reports of accidents as local roads are treacherous right now with sleet underneath snow.

It is pretty out there - just got in from a Jebwalk - lots of reports of accidents as local roads are treacherous right now with sleet underneath snow.

As of 7 am, down to 32F and 1.75" OTG and snowing close to heavily now, with 1"/hour rates the past 30 minutes. It's gorgeous out there with everything covered - first plow just went by our house. TWC was just discussing how the low pressure off DelMarVa is strengthening and noting that short term forecasts are for 1-2" per hour for the next 3-4 hours for much of CNJ/NYC/NENJ.

As of 7 am, down to 32F and 1.75" OTG and snowing close to heavily now, with 1"/hour rates the past 30 minutes. It's gorgeous out there with everything covered - first plow just went by our house. TWC was just discussing how the low pressure off DelMarVa is strengthening and noting that short term forecasts are for 1-2" per hour for the next 3-4 hours for much of CNJ/NYC/NENJ.

As of 6:30 am, still 33F and 1.25" of snow on the ground and snowing moderately - that's only 1/2" per hour rates - going to need more than that to even get to 5-6", let alone 7-8".

As of 6:30 am, still 33F and 1.25" of snow on the ground and snowing moderately - that's only 1/2" per hour rates - going to need more than that to even get to 5-6", let alone 7-8".

Given the overperforming snow to the NW, the NWS reraised snowfall forecasts for that area to 8-12", as per the map below.