
RU848789
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Everything posted by RU848789
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With about 1.6MM people in Manhattan, let's guess that 1% live close enough to walk easily to CPK in the snow, which would be 16,000 people and let's assume 1% of them care about the CPK snow measurement, which is 160 people. Surely one of those folks (probably on this board, lol) must be curious enough to walk into CPK at the end of a snowfall to measure the snow on a small board they placed somewhere in the park on the grass away from concrete. No?
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So our 3.3" was just slightly below my 1.25" prediction (and the NWS ~0.8" prediction early on 12/20), lol. Wasn't quite as much of an overperformer as 2/17/24, when we got 11.25" in the Norlun Trough Deathband from Heaven vs. the 3-5" predicted, but still a substantial positive bust. I'll take it and I suspect most others won't mind this one, as it's a Saturday and accumulations on pavement for those outside of far NW locations was minor. Plus, this much snow with the coming cold means a white Christmas. This plus about 0.3" from the snow showers on 12/5 puts me at 3.6" for the season.
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Swear I posted this 30 minutes ago, but I don't see it, so here goes... As of about 6:50 am we had 3.2" on the ground, as per the picture, and since then we got about another 0.1" for a final total of 3.3", as the snow appears to be over as of about 7:15 am. Damn fine storm, way overperforming my prediction of 1.25" - I'll take the bust, lol, as it's just so gorgeous out there, as per the 2nd pic of the pond across the street from us (have always loved that view from our house). It's down to 30F. And now the bitter cold comes, so I'd expect us to have our first white Christmas in years, as temps won't go above 32F again until Tuesday afternoon (and just barely into the mid-30s and then back below 32F by sunset) and the sun angle for melting doesn't get any lower.
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So our 3.3" was just slightly below my 1.25" prediction (and the NWS ~0.8" prediction early on 12/20), lol. Wasn't quite as much of an overperformer as 2/17/24, when we got 11.25" in the Norlun Trough Deathband from Heaven vs. the 3-5" predicted, but still a substantial positive bust. I'll take it and I suspect most others won't mind this one, as it's a Saturday and accumulations on pavement for those outside of far NW locations was minor. Plus, this much snow with the coming cold means a white Christmas. This plus about 0.3" from the snow showers on 12/5 puts me at 3.6" for the season.
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As of about 6:50 am we had 3.2" on the ground, as per the picture, and since then we got about another 0.1" for a final total of 3.3", as the snow appears to be over as of about 7:15 am. Damn fine storm, way overperforming my prediction of 1.25" - I'll take the bust, lol, as it's just so gorgeous out there, as per the 2nd pic of the pond across the street from us (have always loved that view from our house). It's down to 30F. And now the bitter cold comes, so I'd expect us to have our first white Christmas in years, as temps won't go above 32F again until Tuesday afternoon (and just barely into the mid-30s and then back below 32F by sunset) and the sun angle for melting doesn't get any lower.
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Selected NWS reports, i.e., only from stations reporting after about 1 am (except for SNJ where the snow ended earlier), since any reports before that would be incomplete. A general 2-4" for the advisory counties (everything N of 276/195 in PA/NJ, except for Monmouth and Middlesex) and for Middlesex too. Public Information Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 514 AM EST Sat Dec 21 2024 ...UPDATED SNOWFALL REPORTS AS OF 5 AM... Location Amount Time/Date Provider ...New Jersey... ...Burlington County... Columbus 2.0 in 0245 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter Mount Holly WFO 1.6 in 0500 AM 12/21 Official NWS Obs ...Gloucester County... Washington Twp 1.3 in 1005 PM 12/20 Trained Spotter Mantua 1.0 in 0402 AM 12/21 Public ...Hunterdon County... Clinton 3.8 in 0345 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter Whitehouse Station 3.1 in 0340 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter ...Mercer County... Trenton Mercer Airport 2.3 in 1200 AM 12/21 ASOS 1 N Hamilton Square 1.9 in 0100 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter ...Middlesex County... North Brunswick 2.4 in 0211 AM 12/21 Public Piscataway 2.2 in 0145 AM 12/21 Public South River 0.8 in 0330 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter ...Monmouth County... Freehold 2.0 in 0430 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter ...Morris County... Butler 3.7 in 0504 AM 12/21 Public ...Somerset County... Warren 3.0 in 0500 AM 12/21 Public ...Sussex County... Sparta 4.5 in 0445 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter ...Pennsylvania... ...Bucks County... 1 ESE Fricks 3.3 in 0430 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter Furlong 3.1 in 1230 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter Warminster 3.1 in 0500 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter ...Lehigh County... 1 SSW Ancient Oaks 4.1 in 1245 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter ...Monroe County... Coolbaugh Twp 3.5 in 0300 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter ...Montgomery County... Horsham 3.3 in 1145 PM 12/20 Public Trappe 1.8 in 0330 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter ...Northampton County... Nazareth 4.6 in 0500 AM 12/21 Public Martins Creek 3.4 in 0230 AM 12/21 CO-OP Observer North Catasauqua 2.8 in 0510 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter
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Selected NWS reports, i.e., only from stations reporting after about 1 am (except for SNJ where the snow ended earlier), since any reports before that would be incomplete. A general 2-4" for the advisory counties (everything N of 276/195 in PA/NJ, except for Monmouth and Middlesex) and for Middlesex too. Public Information Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 514 AM EST Sat Dec 21 2024 ...UPDATED SNOWFALL REPORTS AS OF 5 AM... Location Amount Time/Date Provider ...New Jersey... ...Burlington County... Columbus 2.0 in 0245 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter Mount Holly WFO 1.6 in 0500 AM 12/21 Official NWS Obs ...Gloucester County... Washington Twp 1.3 in 1005 PM 12/20 Trained Spotter Mantua 1.0 in 0402 AM 12/21 Public ...Hunterdon County... Clinton 3.8 in 0345 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter Whitehouse Station 3.1 in 0340 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter ...Mercer County... Trenton Mercer Airport 2.3 in 1200 AM 12/21 ASOS 1 N Hamilton Square 1.9 in 0100 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter ...Middlesex County... North Brunswick 2.4 in 0211 AM 12/21 Public Piscataway 2.2 in 0145 AM 12/21 Public South River 0.8 in 0330 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter ...Monmouth County... Freehold 2.0 in 0430 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter ...Morris County... Butler 3.7 in 0504 AM 12/21 Public ...Somerset County... Warren 3.0 in 0500 AM 12/21 Public ...Sussex County... Sparta 4.5 in 0445 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter ...Pennsylvania... ...Bucks County... 1 ESE Fricks 3.3 in 0430 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter Furlong 3.1 in 1230 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter Warminster 3.1 in 0500 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter ...Lehigh County... 1 SSW Ancient Oaks 4.1 in 1245 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter ...Monroe County... Coolbaugh Twp 3.5 in 0300 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter ...Montgomery County... Horsham 3.3 in 1145 PM 12/20 Public Trappe 1.8 in 0330 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter ...Northampton County... Nazareth 4.6 in 0500 AM 12/21 Public Martins Creek 3.4 in 0230 AM 12/21 CO-OP Observer North Catasauqua 2.8 in 0510 AM 12/21 Trained Spotter
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Just woke up and took a nice walk outside in the gorgeous silence of a fresh snowfall. As of 5:30 am, we're up to 2.6", which is 1.2" the past 3 hours or 0.4" per hour and the radar loop from the last 3 hours looks like the snow was pretty steady for most of NNJ/CNJ (N of 195) and all of NYC and it still looks pretty good for another hour or two. Temp is down to 31F and all paved surfaces are covered with about 1" of snow. Huge overperformer - think we'll make it to 3" as the latest HRRR still shows another 1/2-3/4" for most of NNJ/CNJ (especially the eastern half as the back edge of precip approaches) - as I said when they posted the advisories last evening, Middlesex County should've been part of it.
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Just woke up and took a nice walk outside in the gorgeous silence of a fresh snowfall. As of 5:30 am, we're up to 2.6", which is 1.2" the past 3 hours or 0.4" per hour and the radar loop from the last 3 hours looks like the snow was pretty steady for most of NNJ/CNJ (N of 195) and all of NYC and it still looks pretty good for another hour or two. Temp is down to 31F and all paved surfaces are covered with about 1" of snow. Huge overperformer - think we'll make it to 3" as the latest HRRR still shows another 1/2-3/4" for most of NNJ/CNJ (especially the eastern half as the back edge of precip approaches) - as I said when they posted the advisories last evening, Middlesex County should've been part of it.
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Best hour of the storm with 0.3" bringing us to 1.4" as of 1:30 am and with temps steady at 32F, we're finally seeing some accumulation on paved surfaces (just a coating so far, but assuming we get another 1/2"-1", much of that should end up on the paved surfaces now (once the snow has a foothold, subsequent snow falls on 32F snow, not slightly warmer cement, and accumulates readily). Nap time for the next ~3 hours; hopefully the HRRR/RAP hi-res models, which have been doing well continue to do so, as they show another 1" for much of CNJ and 1"+ for all of NENJ/NYC from now through 7-8 am.
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Best hour of the storm with 0.3" bringing us to 1.4" as of 1:30 am and with temps steady at 32F, we're finally seeing some accumulation on paved surfaces (just a coating so far, but assuming we get another 1/2"-1", much of that should end up on the paved surfaces now (once the snow has a foothold, subsequent snow falls on 32F snow, not slightly warmer cement, and accumulates readily). Nap time for the next ~3 hours; hopefully the HRRR/RAP hi-res models, which have been doing well continue to do so, as they show another 1" for much of CNJ and 1"+ for all of NENJ/NYC from now through 7-8 am.
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I asked in the Philly thread and 3 hours ago there was 1/2-1" in NW parts of the city, but less near center city and the airport, which is the warmest spot in Philly; the PNS lists 1.5" in Bustleton in the far NE of the city and a friend in CC has about 1". Another poster in my hometown of Turnersville about 10 miles SSE of CC reported 1.4". Lots of 1.5-3" amounts in Sussex/Warren/Morris/Hunterdon/Somerset.
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So, as of 12:30 am, we're up to 1.1" with 0.2" falling the past hour; temp still at 32F and with wet paved surfaces, it'll still take more intensity (to overcome the melting from liquid water probably at about 33F) or a drop to 31F to get some accumulation on paved surfaces.
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Less intensity the last hour, so as of 11:30 pm we're now at about 0.9" with the temp finally down to 32F, so we should start seeing some accumulation on paved surfaces. Latest HRRR still showing another 1-2" overnight for most of CNJ/NNJ/NYC, so 2" is easily within reach here and for most, with some areas in the Lehigh Valley, NWNJ, Bucks, Montco, the Poconos, etc. already having reached 2"+.
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Less intensity the last hour, so as of 11:30 pm we're now at about 0.9" with the temp finally down to 32F, so we should start seeing some accumulation on paved surfaces. Latest HRRR still showing another 1-2" overnight for most of CNJ/NNJ/NYC, so 2" is easily within reach here and for most, with some areas in the Lehigh Valley, NWNJ, Bucks, Montco, the Poconos, etc. already having reached 2"+.