RU848789

Forgot to post this. After shoveling then relaxing some, I went back outside to go run some errands and we had about 0.1" of new snow on the board, cars, etc., which must've fallen after dark, so my total is now up to 2.9" and our season total is up to 7.3". Every tenth helps, lol. Driving around Metuchen, Edison and South Plainfield, all of the county roads seemed to be in good shape, but some of the lightly traveled residential streets were icy in spots, so be careful out there. Temp down to 27F.

As of about 3:15 pm, the snow was definitely over and my final measurement was 2.8", which turns out to not be that far below my 3.3" prediction around noon yesterday, when the forecast was for 3-6", which I never really bought into since the models were generally showing 2-4" for us, so i went well below what was being forecast at that time. Still a bit on the high side relative to what we got, but then again, my guess is that 5-10 miles north of us most are likely under 2", just based on the radar loop. Very nice, pretty storm and not too much inconvenience for most, I imagine, at least for shoveling, given how light and fluffy it was - was able to use a wide broom for 90% of it. There were definitely some impacts locally with snow covered local streets and even county roads for an hour or two - numerous fender benders reported, but nothing outrageous. Brings us to 7.2" on the season, which shouldn't be too far below normal, which is likely about 11" at this point in the season.

As of about 3:15 pm, the snow was definitely over and my final measurement was 2.8", which turns out to not be that far below my 3.3" prediction around noon yesterday, when the forecast was for 3-6", which I never really bought into since the models were generally showing 2-4" for us, so i went well below what was being forecast at that time. Still a bit on the high side relative to what we got, but then again, my guess is that 5-10 miles north of us most are likely under 2", just based on the radar loop. Very nice, pretty storm and not too much inconvenience for most, I imagine, at least for shoveling, given how light and fluffy it was - was able to use a wide broom for 90% of it. There were definitely some impacts locally with snow covered local streets and even county roads for an hour or two - numerous fender benders reported, but nothing outrageous. Brings us to 7.2" on the season, which shouldn't be too far below normal, which is likely about 11" at this point in the season.

As of 2:30 pm we hit 2.7", but the snow has gone to light intensity since about 2:25 pm, so not sure if we can squeeze out another 0.3" to get to 3". Still 29F.

As of 2:30 pm we hit 2.7", but the snow has gone to light intensity since about 2:25 pm, so not sure if we can squeeze out another 0.3" to get to 3". Still 29F.

Completely agree on no need for an SOE for much of CNJ and all of NNJ - they ought to be able to announce those things for specific counties, like the NWS does.

Thanks!! That page can get a little cantankerous, but that's FB for ya. We got very lucky with the bands as it looks like just 5-10 miles N of us didn't get much, but they kept coming here. Really pure beautiful snowfall. I truly never thought we'd get to 2.5" (or more) just 5 hours ago. Just wish the snow shield went further north so everyone could've enjoyed it.

Couple of pics of the pond across the street and the throng of sledders...looks like fun - trying to convince my 29-year old son to go sledding tomorrow...(at a bigger hill, lol)

As of 2:00 pm, we're up to 2.5", so 0.4"/hr rate the last 30 min. Snowing moderately, but it looks like this might be our last decent band over the next 30-45 minutes. 3" is possible, but unlikely. Still 29F - temp has barely budged. With the lighter intensity the last hour or so, the busy county road in front of our house which was treated yesterday has lost most of its snow cover, but the untreated side streets are still all snow covered.

As of 2:00 pm, we're up to 2.5", so 0.4"/hr rate the last 30 min. Snowing moderately, but it looks like this might be our last decent band over the next 30-45 minutes. 3" is possible, but unlikely. Still 29F - temp has barely budged. With the lighter intensity the last hour or so, the busy county road in front of our house which was treated yesterday has lost most of its snow cover, but the untreated side streets are still all snow covered.

As of 1:30 pm, we're up to 2.3", so only 0.3" the last hour, but we're now within 1" of my early prediction, which I wouldn't have thought would happen just 4 hours ago. Snowing more lightly now and the radar isn't as impressive, so we might only get another 1/2" or so if these bands don't start building back in. Still 29F.

As of 1:30 pm, we're up to 2.3", so only 0.3" the last hour, but we're now within 1" of my early prediction, which I wouldn't have thought would happen just 4 hours ago. Snowing more lightly now and the radar isn't as impressive, so we might only get another 1/2" or so if these bands don't start building back in. Still 29F.

As of 12:30 pm we hit the 2.0" mark! Woohoo! That was 0.4"/hr the last 30 minutes. Coming down moderately, still with beautiful dendrites. I've never tried to measure snow ratios before, but I might give it a try, as I think we're probably in the 15:1 or more neighborhood. Gorgeous. And the radar still looks pretty good for the next 30 min. Still 29F.

As of 12:30 pm we hit the 2.0" mark! Woohoo! That was 0.4"/hr the last 30 minutes. Coming down moderately, still with beautiful dendrites. I've never tried to measure snow ratios before, but I might give it a try, as I think we're probably in the 15:1 or more neighborhood. Gorgeous. And the radar still looks pretty good for the next 30 min. Still 29F.

Every local road is covered and slippery in Metuchen with ~2" OTG. For areas with maybe only an inch or so and not much on paved surfaces, it's possible that those areas did not get enough intensity to overcome even the lesser melting rate from indirect mid-Jan sun. Getting that initial snow layer is critical and that requires at least some decent intensity for 20-30 min, but once that occurs, everything will accumulate, since the new "surface" is 32F snow and not slightly above 32F road surface warmed by the indirect sun.

Haven't had time to read - enjoying the snow too much - but has NYC gotten any accumulation yet, especially CPK? I would guess at least 1/2" based on the radar, but could be off on that...

And as of noon, we're at 1.8", so about 0.4" per hour the last 30 min, as intensity has let up with a dry patch, but the radar looks pretty good for at least the next 30 minutes, so we'll get to 2" soon. Based on the inverted trough being likely to set up well south of here (looks like an impressive blob in the Baltimore-Philly corridor and SE of that line - is that it?), I doubt we'll get beyond 3", but even with light snow much of the day 3" is possible. Still 29F so everything is accumulating even on the roads.

And as of noon, we're at 1.8", so about 0.4" per hour the last 30 min, as intensity has let up with a dry patch, but the radar looks pretty good for at least the next 30 minutes, so we'll get to 2" soon. Based on the inverted trough being likely to set up well south of here (looks like an impressive blob in the Baltimore-Philly corridor and SE of that line - I'm assuming that's it), I doubt we'll get beyond 3", but even with light snow much of the day 3" is possible. Still 29F so everything is accumulating even on the roads.

As of 11:30 am, up to 1.6", so 1.2" per hour rate the last 30 minutes. Snow back to light/moderate level, but the radar looks pretty good for the next hour or so, so 2" looks to be a lock. Amazing how quickly things can change.

As of 11:30 am, up to 1.6", so 1.2" per hour rate the last 30 minutes. Snow back to light/moderate level, but the radar looks pretty good for the next hour or so, so 2" looks to be a lock. Amazing how quickly things can change.

Wow, snowing heavily now, since about 10:30 am with beautiful dendrites and we've gone from about 1/4" at about 10:15 am to 1.0" on the ground now as of just about 11:00 am, which is > 1" per hour rates over the last 30 minutes or so. I'd have to guess this is 15-20:1 snow to liquid ratios - very fluffy/low bulk density stuff, one could use a broom to clear. If we can somehow keep this up for awhile 2" or more is back in play. 29F still. For awhile was afraid we might get shut out, now I'm getting greedy for 2-3", but not sure that's in the cards this far NE.

Wow, snowing heavily now, since about 10:30 am with beautiful dendrites and we've gone from about 1/4" at about 10:15 am to 1.0" on the ground now as of just about 11:00 am, which is > 1" per hour rates over the last 30 minutes or so. I'd have to guess this is 15-20:1 snow to liquid ratios - very fluffy/low bulk density stuff, one could use a broom to clear. If we can somehow keep this up for awhile 2" or more is back in play. 29F still. Edit - pics of my street showing roads getting covered and one of dendrites ftw, lol...

Huge flakes and moderate intensity right now with about 1/4" on the ground. Long way to go to get to 1-2" (my updated guess for my house from this morning; my 3.3" guess from yesterday will likely bust badly).

SIAP, but interesting tweet from Tomer Burg. I can definitely see 78 being the 1" line, as he's basically saying, and not the 3" line which the NWS has. Also, the Channel 7 crew dropped their 3" line even further south, from about Titusville in NW Mercer to Long Branch.

Light snow started here a few minutes ago. Radar indicating we might get some accumulating snow soon, unless the snow shield keeps drying up as it nears this area (we still have only 65% humidity and a 20F dewpoint, reflecting dry air still in place).