78Blizzard
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Everything posted by 78Blizzard
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Let's lock this up!
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Definitely colder this run.
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Thru 48 hr that high on Euro looks to be continuing to push down.
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Also many times is highly amped.
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Based on that UK snow map posted earlier, a lot of this is rain or a mix for E MA.
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Thermals on CMC at all levels above looked much colder than GFS for entire duration, well below 0C.
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CMC came south, too.
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We might as well have 6 day first alerts warning of 60 mph wind gusts.
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That doesn't say much for the GFS then.
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18z Euro?
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Too much of a hugger this run. Still early in the game.
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The king will soon tell us how much stock to put in that gfs run.
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Yeah, up in Alaska and the Yukon for days 12-16 in one 6-hour run it went from surface temps in the +teens and low 20's to 20-30 below, lol.
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Scratch the ICON.
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Whatever Weymouth is or is not, they have had their share of bullseyes over the years.
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It looks like it'll be a long winter here, given that we aren't even there yet, meteorologically or otherwise.
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Looks like low to mid 70's for you.
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At least the trend on the GFS and the Ukie were in the right direction this run. Hopefully the king will agree.
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Your time is coming: "Nhc suggests intensification before the et transition starts prior to making landfall near Halifax as a strong category 1 or low end category 2 hurricane. Et is expected to continue until the storm moves into the Gulf of St. Lawrence while remaining at hurricane strength until it passes Northern Newfoundland." https://weather.gc.ca/hurricane/technical_discussion_e.html
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Those clouds are the forerunners of Dorian. They reach all the way to NS now.
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I closed the pool down yesterday. We may get an 80ºF day next week, but with night time temps in the 50's, the water cools down very quickly along with the lower sun angle.
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0z NAM shows a strengthening system after it passes HSE until SE of the Cape. If extrapolated, it looks to turn slightly toward the NNE into NS. The 18z GFS also showed Dorian strengthening but not as much.
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Way west this run- only 100 mi off the elbow. Probably extratropical by then, although still near hurricane strength. ACK with close to 24 hrs of tropical storm winds.
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Can someone explain why when the GFS or many of the other models initialize, that the pressure reading is nowhere near the actual? It shows Dorian strengthening while it is more likely to be weakening as it moves north, especially from where the intensity is now.
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Here are a few samples. https://twitter.com/Brendeaaa/status/1168221965473210368/video/1
