78Blizzard
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Everything posted by 78Blizzard
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3k NAM well E of 18z but still delivers the goods. -
As good as the HRDPS was, it was still not as good as the 12z, continuing the trend. But we don't toss.
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Well W of GFS, and even a bit NNW of 12z GFS.
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At this point, I'll take a Euro/NAM 50-50 compromise. Better yet, a Ukie/NAM compromise.
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The NAM will most likely begin the cave at 0z. The 3k has already done so.
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Yet they don't include Boston and Providence
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Quite possible, Tip. Especially since the UK doesn't go to British Saving Time (BST) until March 25th.
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It was in the same position at hr 48 at 12z vs hr 60 at 0z, and 3 mb stronger.
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Even the Ukie was still holding serve at 12z. For those with the JMA fetish, even it came N from 0z, lol. The euro is the outlier right now, king or not.
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I'd rather the Euro have its weird run now than 24 hours from now. Unless other guidance starts veering E, I'm confidant it will come back NW next run.
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I thought the king didn't have big changes like this from the previous run.
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Burbank also said: "While surface temperatures may stick around 31-34 degrees during the storm, the atmosphere is colder this time around. Thus, the snow should be less dense & that lighter-weighted snow should not produce as much tree damage & power outages."
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Barry Burbank's preliminary prediction from an hour ago. A more refined profile will be released with the arrival of updated guidance as the day progresses.
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The king will soon show the futility of following the JMA.
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It's amazing how the JMA has all of a sudden taken on such important status, lol.
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GFS is bringing it in sooner, more in line with the Euro and the 3k NAM.
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3k NAM is 100 miles W of 12k at hr 60. Still going strong at hr 60, although it, too, doesn't look as good as it did at 18z.
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Now that the 18z CMC solution is in, it looks like the GFS is the outlier. Tossed.
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That 18z CMC is well NW of 12z.
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Shouldn't this type of system be an easy call for the GFS inside of 72 hours? If it fails this one, perhaps they need to look again at the changes made in the "improved" version.
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The GFS is NW of the 12k NAM but weaker. It seems that the earlier arrival shown by the 3k NAM has the better solution than the GFS.
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Actually, I just checked the Euro and it agrees with the 3k NAM on the earlier start.
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The 3k NAM brings the goods in here at 3z Tuesday, but the 12k doesn't get going here until between 9z and 12z. I have not seen such a large time difference before with these two model iterations. Any thoughts?
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It's pretty much done here by 7-8 pm, and by 4-5 pm in your hood, at least according to the Euro.
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I did notice that the 850 0C line did get close to the Cape at that time frame, but just for a very short time.
