78Blizzard

It's back to Bermuda this run of the Euro, lol.

Well, the 0z Euro made a dramatic shift for the 26-27th from its 12z run when it sent the system to Bermuda.

The first one works.

On that I agree.

DC area crushed at the end of the CMC run. Those next two panels I would love to see. It had already bombed out 24mb in 12 hours. 60 kt winds in the Delmarva.

Agreed. As I explained to Will, that graphic was posted by Met Dave Epstein on 2/10/15, just before 2 additional storms hit in the next 5 days. I was only talking about the Boston totals, so I didn't focus on the other cities. But you are right, not only did Worcester have that big storm on Jan 27-28, Providence also received 19 inches from that storm. Tough to rely on government statistics, lol.

Other records that seemingly get lost in that memorable snow year of 2015 are that Boston recorded 28 consecutive days with lows 20 degrees or colder from Jan. 25 through Feb. 21, breaking the all-time record of 27 consecutive days set Jan. 12 through Feb. 7, 1881, and Boston also failed to reach 40 degrees from January 20 through March 3, a record streak of 43 consecutive days. The previous such record streak of 42 straight days was set in the winter of 1968-1969. The snow never had a chance to melt before the next storm hit, lol.

You are correct Will. That was from a blog posted by Met Dave Epstein on Feb 10, 2015, and as his blog stated, more snow was on the way before the 15th. So that was probably accurate at that date, but the next storm just added to the totals. https://www.boston.com/weather/weather/2015/02/10/the_great_snow_of_2015

Here's the breakdown of that:

After what we have been given over the past month, I'd take the .8-.9" of frozen qpf the GFS spit out for the 26th. At least we wouldn't have a crappy air mass and temps are cold aloft.

Surprised that no one mentioned that the GFS resurrected the 26th on the 18z. At least it isn't a 10 day prog, lol.

A half hour ago we had a few ice pellets with the temp at 42F.

A few more runs like those of the past 2 days and the models risk becoming a laughingstock. Perhaps they should go the way of the Ukie with 144 hrs only.

Now I know why the models are so f'd up, lol.

Have no fear, it won't be there on the next run.

The Euro seems to confirm that the GGEM had the right idea sending it to Bermuda, lol.

Looks like the Euro has joined the southern route bandwagon.

The ensembles haven't been very accurate lately, either.

The GGEM did the same thing yesterday, and now today's 12z run has it over Bermuda.

I'm with you on that. Tip just gave me some reinforcement for never having joined the Twit idiocracy.

But they can get a rainer right 8-10 days out.

Interesting that DC has had only a trace of snow thus far this winter. I recall quite a few model runs showing them in the bullseye for double digit snows. But we've had our share of those as well. Tells you the state of modelology this winter.

All that arctic cold that the GFS was pushing just 24 hours ago has evaporated into thin air. Lately these models are about as useful as the groundhog.

Cohen's relying on the LT GFS will probably prove to have been a mistake. It's like when a bear turns bullish on the stock market..you know the good times are over.

That's for sure, especially when one of the 12z models went to a whiff for the 26th after showing a cutter in the previous run.