78Blizzard

These temps wouldn't put people in the holiday mood for Black Friday, especially in E areas. These temps or CMC's would be more in the holiday spirit. Still 9 days out though.

LOL

Guess I need to quit procrastinating and get the rest of my leaves picked up this week if the Euro is right for Sunday.

Down to 40F here now. Probably end up around 36F for the low. Previous low has been 46F on a couple of occasions. I've noticed for quite a while now that this new GFS has a warm bias, overstating highs and lows much of the time and not just by 1 or 2 degrees.. For example, tonight's 18z GFS shows a 06z temp here of 43F. By then we will be at 38-39F. And the 12z GFS showed a 18z temp here of 60F. The high for the day here was 56F. Perhaps the close proximity to Boston and the ocean is causing this bias, I just don't know. But I'm sure radiational cooling plays havoc with the temp modeling.

It may be out in la la land, but it's still quite a 6 hr change. I'm betting on the 12z version as that seems to be where we are this summer.

As recent as the 06z GFS, it had 71F here at 18z. We never made it past 54.

This certainly was fleeting for the period.

Well, the Nam is closer to its range than the HRRR is, lol.

Nam says congrats to LI and NYC.

CMC, albeit weaker, has joined the Ukie on the Wed night clipper event. It now has the low going underneath us.

GFS says what clipper, and CMC says it goes north and weaker.

Nice hit in SNE on Ukie on Thursday.

Ukie has a couple of little clippers next Wed, Thur which should whiten up the dirty snow from the plows.

Because I answered his question...?

A hair dryer than 12z.

Ukie held serve.

Could be... My wife said the supermarkets were crazy today, more than normal for a pedestrian snowstorm heading our way.

Thanks for the tease.

That looks a lot different than this:

8-10 for both of us.

RAP cut back qpf on 0z run from 21z.

21z RAP cut snow amounts way back north of me.

All the mesos have double digits for the Boston area, as well as the Euro, GFS and Ukie. Still tossing the NAM.

The trends tonight seem to be less amped as well.

I know which one I'll trust more.