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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. 78Blizzard
    If this holds at 0Z I don't think we will see the Euro trying to come in up our fannies.
  2. 78Blizzard
    Tossed
  3. 78Blizzard
    GEFS looks warmer than the GFS at the surface, with much less QPF. 2m temps around 39-40F won't cut it near the coast.
  4. 78Blizzard
    90% of that 3" is snow for my backyard on this run.
  5. 78Blizzard
    It all depends on the precip type. It looks like the total QPF will be there.
  6. 78Blizzard
    I've been waiting all winter for this solution from the GFS. Now let's hold it.
  7. 78Blizzard
    Maybe they will all be wrong.
  8. 78Blizzard
    Peak winds will be around 18z Tuesday , at least according to the Euro op, with either moderate to heavy wet snow or sleet over many E areas. There is going to be a lot of tree damage based on that scenario. Not to mention power failures.
  9. 78Blizzard
    Quite a few more members were inland than at 0z.
  10. 78Blizzard
    Even if the EPS holds serve it won't be good for many.
  11. 78Blizzard
    I agree. We were told to look at the ensembles, not the ops. Well, we are.
  12. 78Blizzard
    Both of us.
  13. 78Blizzard
    12z trends have not been favorable.
  14. 78Blizzard
    Most of that must come after hour 144, at least in E sections.
  15. 78Blizzard
    LOL
  16. 78Blizzard
    I'll pray for e10, e11, e20, or e30.
  17. 78Blizzard
    Based on the Euro op trend from last night, I think the EPS solution is going to be right. Expect to see the op trend toward it at 0z.
  18. 78Blizzard
    You could say the same about the crazy uncle, too. Last night posters were singing its praises, today, it sucks.
  19. 78Blizzard
    We've seen references to the German, Japanese, and Korean models for this threat. Really reaching...
  20. 78Blizzard
    It's ok, just the crazy uncle.
  21. 78Blizzard
    CMC just about over the BM but meh.
  22. 78Blizzard
  23. 78Blizzard
    I would take a 50-50 compromise between the GFS and Euro ops at this point and take my chances on precip type. Cold air will probably be hard to find around here at the surface.
  24. 78Blizzard
    I think you may both be talking about different Saturday storms. If you are talking about the Saturday storm last weekend, yes, the GFS ensembles had shown consistency for 3 days.
  25. 78Blizzard
    And that caution is well warranted given the track record of 7-8 day threats this winter.
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