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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. 78Blizzard
    The one positive on the NAM is that it didn't take the 925 0°C line into southern NH as did the 18z Euro. In fact, the line didn't make it past the CT, RI, SE mass border.
  2. 78Blizzard
    Much worse than 18z.
  3. 78Blizzard
    No worries...
  4. 78Blizzard
    That's a little colder solution than 12z, but still a mess for many places.
  5. 78Blizzard
    My point about ignoring the GFS is for the period up to 8pm Tuesday, which, as I said, showed anywhere from 7-19" for ORH. The map obviously didn't reflect that scenario, or gave it short shrift.
  6. 78Blizzard
    This is when we really need Harvey Leonard around.
  7. 78Blizzard
    ? How does that relate to what I said? I knew that based on my comment.
  8. 78Blizzard
    The GFS 18z run had 4" for WOR after 8pm Tuesday. But through 8pm it had anywhere from 7-19" depending on that insane cutoff. So they must be ignoring the GFS scenario.
  9. 78Blizzard
    Despite the mess, still not a bad outcome in the end here.
  10. 78Blizzard
    It just goes to show that even with the technological improvements and super computers over the years, we still have a long way to go in weather modeling. I'm surprised that NCEP or whoever is in charge didn't request recon flights for this system, given the uncertain nature and the likelihood of coastal flooding and wind damage.
  11. 78Blizzard
    The GFS couldn't even get it right on 1 day out just last week.
  12. 78Blizzard
    Just like the Euro was a mess.
  13. 78Blizzard
    We have already seen most models get away from that inland CT/RI track, so the trend is there. Also, that elongated low seems to have disappeared as well. I'm saying the trend will show up more if the GFS and EURO follow the NAM to the right. I know this isn't good for your hood, but just saying.
  14. 78Blizzard
    It's the trend. If the GFS and Euro both take similar tracks at 18z, it will mark a consensus as we get closer now. Big IF.
  15. 78Blizzard
    By the time the Euro finishes tonight it will be close to 3 AM once you turn your clock ahead.
  16. 78Blizzard
    tossed
  17. 78Blizzard
    If the GFS comes out with a track a little further to the right, even if not as far out as the NAM, many here will be changing their tune.
  18. 78Blizzard
    That's exactly what the storm expert on TWC said late this AM. A slight change in the track to the right would bring heavy snows into the rt 95 corridor. Can it hold?
  19. 78Blizzard
    Yeah, now that some of us, easterners and westerners, have trashed both of their latest runs, who's next to be trashed?
  20. 78Blizzard
    Those kuchera numbers imply a colder system which is the big takeaway from that map.
  21. 78Blizzard
    Ray porked again.
  22. 78Blizzard
    NAM ingesting new data.
  23. 78Blizzard
    Burial for SE MA.
  24. 78Blizzard
    Nice start to the 18z suite.
  25. 78Blizzard
    NAM seems to have lost that elongated low look.
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