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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. 78Blizzard
    At hr 57 most of the precip is over.
  2. 78Blizzard
    Stalls over elbow of cape between 18z and 0z.
  3. 78Blizzard
    Colder NAM run at surface and aloft. 31°F at 18z here verbatim.
  4. 78Blizzard
    The 925s collapse S at 12z Tues.
  5. 78Blizzard
    Now we're getting more reasonable. WSW should be extended in some areas.
  6. 78Blizzard
    That the map is showing even minor amounts of snow at 12z Tuesday in EMA is encouraging.
  7. 78Blizzard
    FWIW, which is probably not much, the mesos ARW, NSSL, and FV3 each respectively bring the low over the BM, just off the coast of NJ, and into NYC/CT, although if anyone can figure out where the nipple low is on the FV3, good luck.
  8. 78Blizzard
    I meant as far as a foot or more. Moderate impact here, too.
  9. 78Blizzard
    If the NAM and GFS go to that nipple into CT it's game over for EMA and many other areas.
  10. 78Blizzard
    UK was 5°F colder at the surface here at 18z Tuesday than its previous run, yet the Euro was 6°F warmer than 0z run. It was all about that nipple. The Euro had it and UK didn't. Same with the 925 thermals at 18z.
  11. 78Blizzard
    UK is 5 degrees colder here at 18z Tuesday vs the 0z run and the 925 temps are also colder. But then the low at 0z is west of last night's run, so the thermals then go higher. It will all come down to the position of that low between 18z and 0z. The UK and Canadian are the furthest west, pending the Euro.
  12. 78Blizzard
    It's 2 days.
  13. 78Blizzard
    Did you see the ?
  14. 78Blizzard
    BOX has been burnt too many times in the past. They figure to start low, and can always raise them as we get closer, lol.
  15. 78Blizzard
    I'm thinking the opposite, that watches will be extended for many coastal areas.
  16. 78Blizzard
    Based on that BOX map, they are riding their own private model.
  17. 78Blizzard
  18. 78Blizzard
    LOL. Half the forum is praying for the Canadian solutions, and half for the GFS and NAM.
  19. 78Blizzard
    GFS and NAM both colder at 925 this run.
  20. 78Blizzard
    I noticed that at 18z Tuesday, the NAM, CMC, and RGEM all have temps here at 33-34 with winds out of the north, whereas the GFS and UK have temps at 37-39 with winds still strong out of the northeast. That and the UK showing the 925 0°C line further north than those other models.
  21. 78Blizzard
    It's 16", but who's counting...
  22. 78Blizzard
    That is one of the most reasonable snow maps I've seen in days. Funny it's from the CMC run.
  23. 78Blizzard
    Once we got to 18z and after, the winds began turning into the N bringing down the colder air to our north. Still some colder temps around despite the warmer air at the beginning.
  24. 78Blizzard
    At least it cut way down those insane QPF amounts from 18z. Still not great for BOS metro, but an improvement.
  25. 78Blizzard
    This obviously won't happen, but it would be funny if the system chased that convection out to the east and slipped away with minimal impacts. The meltdowns would be epic.
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