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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. 78Blizzard
    BOS still under a WWA. No update yet from BOX despite these latest runs. Even the mesos have warning snows for BOS. In fact, all 12 different models I have seen have warning snows. Not one has less. I guess they are all wrong.
  2. 78Blizzard
    Up to 3"/hr rates for several hours in BOS metro.
  3. 78Blizzard
    Notice too that those winds from that point on are strong from the NW, eliminating any marine influence from the earlier NE winds.
  4. 78Blizzard
    Probably. Maybe it helped.
  5. 78Blizzard
    3k NAM has freezing or below in BOS area from 20z until the end.
  6. 78Blizzard
    The 18z was evidence that we can't lock it. But the Hrrr was showing a similar setup at 0z, further E and N from its 18z run, so we have 2 models moving in the right direction to start 0z.
  7. 78Blizzard
    Yeah, it's E and when it make the left turn and loops it stays offshore keeping us in the goods.
  8. 78Blizzard
    Hrrr was good for EMA, too. Went from 2" to 10" from 18z run. Low went further E and N before the left turn and loop.
  9. 78Blizzard
    Correction- I misread your post as being at 18z when it is 15z, so ignore what I said.
  10. 78Blizzard
    The GFS and NAM at 18Z show 925s -2 to -3, including the CMC and UK at 12z, so the Euro is all alone with those thermals at 0.
  11. 78Blizzard
    LOL, the 22z RAP just cut back on that to 5" for that 4 hr period.
  12. 78Blizzard
    21z RAP just got more bullish for EMA, with 2"/hr rate between 14z and 18z, a total of 8" in that time frame here. Similar outcome in other areas of EMA.
  13. 78Blizzard
    Based on the recon taking data right now, it should be available for the 0z models.
  14. 78Blizzard
    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/
  15. 78Blizzard
    It's me and the NAM vs Ray and the 3k Nam.
  16. 78Blizzard
    LOL at the NAM. 14" between 12z and 18z with rain at the beginning of that period. 3"+/hr rate at times. According to Pivotal. 3k NAM says not so fast. Just 2".
  17. 78Blizzard
    5% chance of that happening.
  18. 78Blizzard
    Maybe so, but we want to be able to pin down the models that had it right and the ones that had it wrong.
  19. 78Blizzard
    Why shouldn't it be as confused as the rest of them?
  20. 78Blizzard
    Nothing like covering all of your bases.
  21. 78Blizzard
    Approx start time for snow in BOS area based on 12z runs: GFS- 8-9am Euro 1-2pm CMC 3-4pm UK 1-2pm NAM 10-11am, but early end based on track. I'm assuming that due to DST, 18z now means 2pm here.
  22. 78Blizzard
    BOX is as confused as the models.
  23. 78Blizzard
    I'm surprised they waited this long to do so.
  24. 78Blizzard
    They will be bringing them back up again. I mean, with all these changes are they putting up WSW only to take them down and then put them up again? The public is only confused with these multiple changes in a short time period. Most of the public could care less about this being a tough forecast.
  25. 78Blizzard
    As we close in on this, it's good to see the GFS/Euro looking good for BOS metro. Those are the two models I would want in my camp right now.
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