vortmax

Think you need to look at the Aleutian LP to see how the downstream reacts.

Agreed, fun to read and discuss.

Not to be a Debbie Downer, but there's no way we stay snow very long with a 994 LP over BUF . We either need a weaker low and quicker xfer or a more W-E trajectory about 100 mile further south w/quick xfer.

Down to 39 in IAG...same as ART.

If the data is operational model history, then likely pre-FV3 as I don't believe it was considered the official operational GFS last year.

Pre-FV3?

At this point I hope it's further west so we get warmer with less rain.

The pattern will change in Apr...just when we're all sick of the cold rainy weather. lol - extending the cold, rainy weather until mid-May. Ok, that's depressing. I'd be happy to get a couple of big storms in there, even if they melted away.

WPC Ext Disc... Given the evolution of the large-scale/hemispheric pattern, with a building anomalous upper ridge between Alaska and Hawaii, this favors a persistent mean trough along the U.S. West Coast and a stronger subtropical ridge in the Southeast. Sounds like the Bermuda high is the winner.

12z Canadian - North w/ZR zone:

About .75" of frozen precip.

SNOW SQUALL WARNING - BEEP BEEP

...and we are the cure.

We need a SSW event.

This would be nice.

I'm wondering if the oscillations are aligned to blocking/ENSO/MJO 'patterns'.

Can anyone tell me when a primary 997 LP passed to our west and stayed all snow in WNY w/no secondary coastal?

Dusting here...nice to see white again.

Everyone's phone just lit up!

Merry Christmas everyone.

As long as ROC wins, who cares? LOL GSB Cities The 2019 - 2020 Snow Season Normal Average to Date This Time Last Season Normal Seasons Average All Time Season Snowfall Record Rochester 37.8 19.7 24.4 99.5 161.7 inches (1959 - 1960) Albany 29.8 10.6 13.0 60.2 112.5 inches (1970 - 1971) Syracuse 29.7 29.6 31.7 123.8 192.1 inches (1992 - 1993) Buffalo 27.2 24.0 23.2 94.7 199.4 inches (1976 - 1977) Binghamton 26.0 17.0 30.4 83.4 135.2 inches (2016 - 2017)

Nice little band hitting NW Wayne.

Just found this cool site with lots of webcams: https://www.windy.com/-Webcams/United-States/New-York/Weedsport/I-at-Interchange/webcams/1483962952?43.109,-79.453,7

Is there more moisture flowing in?

Interesting HWO...hoping to score a couple of fluffy inches today: Lake effect snow will continue southeast of Lake Ontario today and this evening. A few inches of fluffy accumulation is expected, especially close to Lake Ontario. If a stronger band of snow is able to consolidate, moderate accumulations are possible.