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vortmax

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Everything posted by vortmax

  1. vortmax
    Euro should start running soon, we'll see how she goes. 00z Euro was slower to form the frontal wave (to the north), GFS/Canadian are quicker. We'd all like the central position where it's just SE of us as it approaches just after the strong frontal passage.
  2. vortmax
    Sure would. Lots of fun for Christmas Eve. Always love a nice snow timed perfectly. Hoping the 12z Euro lines up well...
  3. vortmax
    Was written in June, however the principle that Coronaviruses don't mutate rapidly and recklessly like influenza holds true (none of C19 mutations will be "doozies"). Virologists actually compare C19 to the mumps which has had the same effective vaccine for 45 years. This likely means the current C19 vaccines will work just fine for this new mutation.
  4. vortmax
    Potential SSW event in Jan as well could be interesting: https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/stratosphere-major-winter-warming-watch-january-2021-fa/
  5. vortmax
    On a side note... SSW in early Jan? Good way to start the new year. https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/stratosphere-major-winter-warming-watch-january-2021-fa/
  6. vortmax
    Your last paragraph just isn't consistent with the known mutations of C19. Read this to better understand how it compares to other RNA viruses. https://www.healthline.com/health-news/what-to-know-about-mutation-and-covid-19#What-this-means-for-a-vaccine
  7. vortmax
    18z GFS again develops late and east. BUF seems to think this is incorrect.
  8. vortmax
    Potential for a big synoptic hit there in WNY.
  9. vortmax
    That's quite the baroclinic front.
  10. vortmax
    Looks like BUF is favoring the Euro and Canadian so far - they tend to keep the LP closer - gamble for sure! Will all but throw out the impatient GFS that rushes the phasing jets and delays the blossoming secondary low until it is well past our forecast area. Much prefer the looks of the Canadian Hemispheric and ECMWF packages...so THAT is where forecast has LARGELY been based.
  11. vortmax
    This is gonna be a fun time over the next month with this blocking pattern.
  12. vortmax
    Is that the clipper?
  13. vortmax
    The general trends are consistent. Faster frontal passage.
  14. vortmax
    Definitely retros the LP enough for SW flow.
  15. vortmax
    Produces 6 inches overnight!
  16. vortmax
    The Ukie isn't a good hit synoptically, but it's trending faster just like the others. A good trend.
  17. vortmax
    Some big hits on those members. Canadian is definitely looking better this run. Trending in the right direction!
  18. vortmax
    GDPS out to 90 so far, but definitely a bit faster with the front. Might be a good trend to get the cold air here before Christmas day.
  19. vortmax
    Still at 32 here, been that way for the last 18hrs or so. Warmer air definitely a bit slower to get on the east side. Got about 1-1.5" of fluff so far.
  20. vortmax
    12z GFS definitely sped up the frontal passage...a good 12hrs or so. Only out to 108, but loosed the frontal wave....not good. Still drops 3-6 for most in WNY outside the belts. More of 270 LE direction...and keeps piling up.
  21. vortmax
    The mid-week clipper looks a bit colder and south...that could be good with keeping the light snowpack...
  22. vortmax
    Large dendrites here. Moderate snow now...
  23. vortmax
    We've accumulated probably an inch out here.
  24. vortmax
    Man, that 00z Euro is a big hit for WNY starting Christmas Eve night...I'll take this one please!
  25. vortmax
    This is a great look for the beginning of winter...something we haven't seen in many years! More -NAO the merrier IMHO...
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