vortmax
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Everything posted by vortmax
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18z NAM a agrees...still snowing:
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NWS is mentioning "wet" snow for the first storm so I'd go with 8:1. I'd be convinced with the 20:1 for the LE afterwards though. Either way a nice 12"+ over the next 5 days would be nice!
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Yup (Kuchera may be accurate in the cold airmass) - about 6" from first storm and 8-10" from LE:
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Maybe we see the correction south now...
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1004mb is stronger it seems.
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Hope it doesn't get that far north.
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BUF going with the higher end:
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The ratios may get better on the tail end. The 700mb moisture sticks around until hr75. Could be some puffy LE once the winds back.
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RGEM at 60hr....still snowing
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The 1990s Buffalo team's defense would win the game in the 4th. Let's see how they do now...
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Maybe a little thermal troughing as well to help a more NW wind.
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I was referring to BUFs discussion. I'll gladly take this as well!
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Doesn't sound very impressive here...lol
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Wow, the DelMarVa might see a blizzard next week...according the GFS. Looks like the 18z NAM is coming along the GFS...
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I'll take another one....need to start making up some ground...
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Just measured here. 12-13" and that's probably compacted some as we had some breaks with sun earlier.
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Hoping the winds stay put for awhile, into a nice band with huge flakes. At least another 2" of fluff so far.
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Would love a storm like that. Potential blizzard warning for that one.
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Kuchera method more accurate for this event, I think. Maybe even a little lake enhancement for this as well?
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Nice little radar site from Channel 9 in SYR that I use for Wayne cty... https://www.localsyr.com/live-radar/
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Looks like about 10" or so here...with some bands still to pass through as the winds back, maybe another 1-2" of fluff. Nice event...FINALLY.
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And there they are... LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches, with storm total accumulations of 8 to 12 inches in the most persistent snows. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph. * WHERE...Monroe, Wayne, and Northern Cayuga counties. Heavy snow will be localized, occurring in narrow bands.
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Waiting for upgrades to warnings...
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Band seems to be getting closer to S Shore and reorienting...
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Yeah, the 18z really made a shift north.
