vortmax
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Everything posted by vortmax
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It's already out...see above.
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RGEM coming in drier, but still good.
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Would be nice to compare radar to RGEM throughout this event since this was the most generous model.
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Exactly, even the updated AFD says less than an inch at the south shore. We're at 1/4-1/2 already.
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Makes me question all of them for this event.
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Buf AFD : The airmass is not particularly cold, and will likely be too warm to allow for much lake enhancement as the dentritic crystal growth zone remains far above the shallow inversion during the event. ??? This would be disappointing.
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And here as well! Only a couple miles from the lake. Not really impressed with the WWA BUF issued though, hoping we overperform.
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I'd say.
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Have to admit, the Canadian has been quite consistent (precip-wise) compared to the others.
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Expect low, be surprised young grasshopper.
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Yes, and a long duration event makes it even more exciting. The lake wants to produce... now's her chance.
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This one is complex and will be yet another now cast event. I'm just thankful we have a relatively warm lake to our north.
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Cutters may lock quick it seems (LP west of us is obvious), but the heaviest axis of snow is probably still a challenge out there. But again, cutters are like mid-west Miller A's to some degree - moving from point A to point B.
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I'd imagine BUF will issue longer duration WWA for the south shore at this point.
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Miller A?
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Don't get NAM'ed. It always hypes precip around this time.
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No need to panic, still more time.
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This is when you know something big is going down...
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No politics!
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Get ready to be surprised.
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Some serious number from the EC, dang. Pretty sad we can't lock this not even 2 days out.
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I've seen some of the coolest river - effect snow up near Morristown along the St Lawrence. Was so cold you could see the entire process from evaporation to precipitation.
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That forum just epically exploded.
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Thanks for the visual Tim. Really helpful. *gag*
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Corrected BGM...
