vortmax

Especially with the wind...

Double Rollercoaster..

Hoping to get some of that warm frontal nocturnal elevated convection this season.

Rollercoaster temps today so far...

Let's see how this goes today...

45 is pretty young. Assuming he didn't have the vaccine yet? Is he generally healthy, a smoker? Asthma? Just curious. Will pray for a quick recovery regardless!

I'm for gun rights, but also for more strict training and background checks at the same time. If we're going to have civilians packing heat in public, they need to be well-trained and well-vetted. In fact, I think there should be an initial test and ones that need to be passed on a annual basis to keep up with training.

According the data from Phase 3 Pfizer, you can have up to 89% efficacy after 15-21 days from the 1st shot only. That's quite remarkable considering we all get annual flu shots with efficacies ranging in the 30-60% range. Not quite sure why this story's author calls the 2nd dose "crucial", considering the J&J max efficacy for a single dose is in the 60s. I get that they are going along with the phased trials recommendations, but I think the 2nd dose could be a bit overkill in many cases (especially younger people with healthy immune responses). Regarding symptoms, everyone I know got a headache and fatigue from the 1st Pfizer dose, including me. My brother had a massive headache after the 2nd dose as well. I, for one, feel comfortable with just 1 dose, but unfortunately I'd be demonized as a non-completer.

Nice bands rolling through Caz...enjoy it while it lasts. Likely winter's last hoorah!

Not much coming off GB, but thinking the water temps are much cooler (so less delta) than LH or LO...

Since Tim isn't doing it, here's the ROC airport:

RGEM seems to be showing some LE overnight, NAM not so much. 12z HRRR similar to RGEM, 3k NAM has nada, HRW has some as well.

Looks like some impact from the lake coming onshore in Ontario and NIA cty...https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=BUF-N0Q-1-24

Such eloquent writing back then. Pleasant to read.

18z NAM a little SE as well. Looks like we're locked in.

They are concerned about further east...I think they'll extend into Wayne at least. Their snow maps only go til 8pm tomorrow so little LE included. While overly aggressive 3 weeks ago, I think they're under-calling it now. Looks like BUF is going with the Euro.

Temps in low 40s all day (even dropping a bit) and DPs below freezing now in WNY. I think the precip changes over pretty quickly when it starts. Getting a little excited - we may have ourselves a keeper here.

Just sayin' Dave

Anyone want to comment on the 'gap' between the bullseyes? Is that primarily elevation?

GFS not impressive with the LE, but 850 temps, 700 moisture, and winds are looking quite favorable to me.

GFS lays down 7" by 12pm tomorrow for most of WNY at 1:10. Before any LE...

12z GFS running...

12z RGEM through 57hr

12z RGEM through 57hr