vortmax

Anyone buying this?

Would love to hear an analysis on this upcoming event. To really make the widespread 65+ gusts happen per HRRR, I think Delta got it right - it's just not happening at the optimal time of day. Even though there is good CAA/pressure rises post-front, there will be little to no diurnal mixing to help out.

Thanks for the teleconnection & longwave pattern analysis. Really helps put things in perspective when it comes to potential sensible weather!

If we can get that block to form a little further west, it might not be so bad...

Is it me or did this LE get totally under called by BUF??

Time to move to northern MI...

Only a dusting here, but the band is literally out the window just to the north. Sag south pls!

Are we going to see any sun during the Monday to enhance the winds? Now that I've read the AFD, seems there's plenty of variables not optimal for a high wind event.

Just goes to show you the amount of variables in a 5 day forecast are almost infinite. I'm surprised the models do as well as they do!

Question is, how much clearing do we see behind the front? If we can sqeek a couple hours worth, the wind will blowith more.

Congrats UP MI...lol

Can we please just let it happen like every other seasonal virus so we can be done with it already?

We better get a white Christmas. I know BUF scored last year, but that was a razor's edge. Tired of the recent warm Decembers.

Exactly, it's all media and politically driven for the expressed purpose to fear, manipulate, and control people.

We won't know for a couple more weeks of lab testing about Omicron's details so the media should just take a CHILL PILL at this point. Of course they won't as it goes against their 'fear the public' narrative.

Meso lows are best when you catch the upper comma portion as it rotates over you and in upper teens temps.

Unfortunately, the boosters were not 'tuned' for Delta. They are basically the same as the first doses. However, I read some of the data and it appears that a 'boost', especially for those with weaker immune responses to the original vaccines, can bring the efficacy back up into the 80s% range for Delta. Think about this for a moment, there is some good news about the Delta variant. Because it's so contagious, it's taken over 95+% of the new cases. It would take an even more contagious version to overtake it OR a variant that is majorly resistant to the current vax - BOTH of these scenarios can be prevented by getting every available vaccine to large 3rd world populations to prevent the India-level event that spawned Delta (I don't particularly like the WHO, but they are absolutely right about this one). Every wealthy country should be flying BUS LOADS of vaccines to these areas EVERY DAY. If all stays status quo in the world, Delta will burn out and COVID 19 will finally be behind us by end of mid-Spring (my guess). Can I get an AMEN?

I'd bet on this map verifying.

Looking north to me:

Keep the faith guys. Don't fall into the doldrums trap. Winter hasn't even started yet.

Not sure we're going to have enough of a clearing, but this would be cool to see: LUNAR ECLIPSE TONIGHT: It's happening tonight--the longest lunar eclipse in more than 600 years. The best places to see it are North America and islands in the Pacific. At maximum, 97% of the Moon will fall into shadow, and the lunar disk will turn a beautiful shade of sunset red. Full story @ Spaceweather.com.

We got mostly liquid from that event.

Or east in Ontario. We had some graupel on the ground for a couple hours though.

Really hoping the pattern stays cold thru Dec. Seems we get white Thanksgivings more than Christmases lately.

Fake news at its worst. *facepalm*