vortmax

They are all in on the track, def band, and LE...nice.

Hugs and kisses wolfie

Yet their PNC says 3-7" and map.... Today Light snow likely, mainly between 11am and noon. Cloudy, with a temperature falling to around 14 by 5pm. North wind 15 to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Tonight A chance of light snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 4. Wind chill values as low as -10. North wind 15 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Saturday A chance of light snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 11. Wind chill values as low as -10. North wind 8 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.'

Can't we all just get along...

We take pre storm LE Tim/Dave.

Hilarious

Dynamic cooling is your friend. Dryslot is not.

Darth Z Bond again.

The EPS really tightened up. Nice. Is 18z the first run with some good northern stream vortmax sampling?

Perfect place for a late game SE correction.

I'm waiting for BUF to get excited about it. Definitely has potential to be the bigger synoptic storm in quite some time.

The Triple Lindy.

Really rooting for this.

I guess there's a quick jump on this frame....

The first 2 are suffering from convective feedback and placing the LP to the east. If you look at them carefully, you'll see 2 areas of LP on each map.

Normally I agree, but as someone alluded to earlier, the 2nd thoughts are always on non-Miller A systems. I think the models have this nailed down aside from some last-minute SE correction (maybe 50-100 miles). I think with LE on the current track, the South Shore will see 24" lollies. JMHO

Stamped and saved... lol

Euro 12Z 84hr east by 150 miles, but 3mb deeper. 96hrs east by 75-100mi, but big hit for WNY.

Euro is running. Looks the same as 00Z up to 40hrs so far.

ENY is a little far east to guarantee 6" with the , but you never know.

With a last minute SE correction, I think ROC-SYR are jackpots (w/lollies), but everyone here easily gets 6"+ on either side. Ratios should be 15:1 ish.

This one is gonna be juicy with it being a Miller A - draws up all sorts of moisture from the Gulf...

Exactly. DC literally has more snow that I do.

Again. I would expect NW trends with a last minute SE correction. Just my take.

NAO should be slightly negative at this point so hopefully the HP doesn't move too quickly. I just hope we see a stronger phasing to keep this tucked more.