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Everything posted by ARyan
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January 20-22 “bring the mojo” winter storm threat
ARyan replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
weather.cod.edu -
The HRRR has been trending towards expanding the ZR region NE along the NC/SC border over the past 5 runs or so. Doing a quick glance at the 17z initialization, it appears to be initializing correctly. It'll be interesting to see if this trend continues. https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/?load=prun&prunType=2022011517-HRRR-SE-prec-ptype-18
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OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
ARyan replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
...and back to sleet. Here's a live look from 700mb. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
ARyan replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Huge flakes. They're hitting the ground and rolling like tumbleweeds. (Okay. That's a bit of an exaggeration.) -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
ARyan replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Trying to go back to all snow. Still a few sleet pellets mixed in. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
ARyan replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Some sleet mixing in but still mostly snow in Long Beach. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
ARyan replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yes. Thank you. I need another cup of coffee. I was just about the edit my post. Haha. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
ARyan replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
LIDAR soundings in the metro are already looking sketchy. Temps in the 700mb level are flirting with 0C. The heavy snow will help, but if/when things lighten up is when we'll be in trouble. http://www.nysmesonet.org/networks/profiler#stid=prof_stat EDIT: I need another cup of coffee. Not nearly as close as I first interpreted. -
Light precip in Long Beach, but whatever is falling is all sleet.
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Intense band south of LI. Note the subsidence surrounding it.
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Wind is whipping in Long Beach. Thankfully it's keeping the sidewalk clear. Haha.
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Which of course is Latin for "Out to Sea."
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
ARyan replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Same here. Thankfully we didn't lose power. However, we did lose internet...from a car hitting a power pole.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
ARyan replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I slept through most of it. I remember hearing a lot of sleet. The pinging stopped early this morning. I'm guessing we have about 3-4", at best, of concrete. The wind was howling at times last night. Enough to wake me up. I was just waiting for it to take the power out.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
ARyan replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
ARyan replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Hard to tell. The wind is blowing what snow has fallen against my apartment. Maybe 2"? Also, we're back to all snow.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
ARyan replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Currently there's sleet here in Long Beach, but some snow is trying to mix back in.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
ARyan replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
If you have a smartphone, I recommend downloading RadarScope.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
ARyan replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Outside the metro, but if you like heavy snow and trains, this will be great cam to watch.- 1,011 replies
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Following up this. Based on this post and the 0z MFR sounding, it would hint at a further NW track...
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That's a crazy good shot! What an eerie world we're living in now.
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Spotty 3+" rainfall NJ/LI Midnight Thu AM-9AM Fri 9/10-11/20
ARyan replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Wow. These rainfall totals are unbelievable. I know it rained a lot last night but 4-5" is crazy. Thankfully not too much flooding in my part of Long Beach. The usual trouble spots are flooded but passable. -
Yes. Every branch of the NWS does forecast verification. Although, they're usually buried and can be hard to find. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/verification/ Also, I didn't know they did those forecasts either.