SnoSki14

I think this winter is done but I can never rule out a fluke snow event. I would personally like to see that 0 happen for historical purposes.

That's subjective. For many it would be the best winter of their lifetime because of a lack of snow/cold. I've been over this winter for weeks now, fully into the acceptance stage. Spring weather can't get here fast enough though I always worry that March/April will be when the wintry pattern shows up.

Actually it hasn't been that wet relative to normal. It just feels like it has though that might change with the wave of cutters coming. This is for NJ though, not sure how it is elsewhere

Dudes a warminista troll but looks like a genius in patterns like this Joe Bustardi meanwhile just looks dumber & dumber with each passing day. Always picks the coldest model for a specific time frame either to denounce climate change or make some bogus wintry forecast.

That's looking likely. Lots of precip coming up, none of it frozen. February looks mild. March is a wild card but it wouldn't shock me if that's where the snow happens like in 97/98. The rapidly changing wavelengths and potential SSWE in Feb could make it interesting.

West trend won't be denied. That Atlantic ridging will makes sure of it There's nothing holding a 50/50 in place

People wonder how we went nearly a decade without major snows in the 80s or had multiple low years in the late 90s Well that's how. But we also have to deal with the effects of CC on our patterns today. One of those big effects is the southbound Greenland ridging and ridging off the Atlantic coast. It's going to be harder and harder to deliver a good snow season here. On the plus side, if and when things do come together you could get a massive storm. There will be a storm that drops 3-5' of snow over our area over the next 10-15 years or before the warming becomes too much.

Here's why it'll keep moving west. Look at those anomalies off of New England. That's reinforcing the ridging there

If that continues then futility records are in play. Feb looks warm too on weeklies. Only thing that could muck it up is some March storm. Getting 0 snow is probably a long shot though but fingers crossed

No threats for us whatsoever. No 50/50s in place. Every system should cut well west A great stretch though for C/N NE and the ski regions up north. Even parts of SNE might do well

I really hope it's not another cold/snowy March. I can't stand snow/cold in late winter. The only exception I'll make is a crazy storm like 1888

Yeah that's what I'm counting on

We should easily beat the snow drought record.

Congrats, no one south of 41N is getting anything this winter. My biggest storm was a brief squall back in December

They average like 200-300+ inches I would hope they'd get snow

Most of our seasonal snowfall comes after mid Jan

That might work out in late winter when wavelengths start to change I think Feb will be better than people expect

If there's a Nino influence then spring may be quite pleasant

There's definitely a change in the air although it may not seem like it. Pretty stout PNA spike is shown too. Getting into good climo territory as well. 22/23 looks interesting and maybe something beyond as well

Euro loves over amplifying systems too.

It's probably gonna snow at some point. As much as I would personally like to see futility records broken I don't see that happening. You had a double dip -4 AO in December, the PV is getting stretched beyond belief. At some point it's gonna snow. Hell it could pull a 2016 and dump one big blizzard on us.

I'm getting strong 12/13 vibes.

I think our best bet for snow is through SWFEs. You need the shortwaves to stay weak though. Even in bad patterns it can still find a way to snow and we're approaching our most favorable climo period for snow.

The late weekend system + the early week shortwave create some confluence for the following one. Best case is some sort of SWFE which will benefit northern areas.

Yeah there's enough time for it to do so