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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. The only indicators are earlier sunsets and drought stress trees that look like they're turning.
  2. The drought is finally ending? Usually when we see one extreme (record-near record dry summer) we go the other pretty quickly nowadays.
  3. We really need a good prolonged soaker. These quick hits didn't help much. A lot of burnt out, dead trees and bushes now.
  4. Something's gotta give. Too much energy in the north Atlantic, a severe -NAO, tropical influences as well. GFS OP shows tons of competing influences
  5. 91L hanging around on the Euro off the east coast too.
  6. Euro keeping it weak which makes it a threat down the line
  7. It does show what could happen if it stays disorganized, which it looks like it will.
  8. Crazy, some people are still trying to justify that things weren't so hot. If a top 2-3 or hottest/driest summer on record ain't good enough then what is. The persistence is key when it comes to climate change and that's what we're seeing all over the world, endless heat.
  9. We can't even get a near normal month with the new averages. Every month is a top 5 warmest month. Kinda wild how fast things are warming when you really think about it. A 0" snowfall is definitely on the cards if this pattern rolls into winter.
  10. The forecast temperatures are what we would normally see for August. August is the new September clearly.
  11. I don't see it getting classified tonight as storms can't maintain around center due to shear. Maybe tomorrow which means August will be a shutout
  12. I'm not sure the standard ENSO state applies anymore. There's been a disconnect for several seasons now
  13. Very heavy rains over Somerset, heaviest in months. Much welcomed
  14. Florida's climate is coming to us
  15. Euro picking up on the blocking signals. Maybe it won't be an endless torch after all
  16. Fascinating we're seeing such little precip this year after record rains just a year ago. From one extreme to the next with a short turnaround period.
  17. I always thought we would see less hurricanes but stronger ones in an AGW world. We also just had a string of well above normal seasons.
  18. I wonder if models have yet to pick up on the seasonal transition cues because the GFS still thinks it's mid July by September 10. The GFS does this a lot in March too when it shows single digits for mid March. Chances are it'll be very warm but I'm very weary of the days and days of 95+ readings.
  19. This is unfortunate. I'm glad we had some rains last week but it's nowhere near enough and far too localized to make an impact. Not much on the tropics front either. Bad fire season ahead. GFS OP to 2 weeks has literally no rain for anyone and upper 80s to low 90s pretty much everyday. Nuts
  20. We should probably start using 10 year averages not 30 given how fast our climate is warming. Our new averages can't keep up with the warning trends and this is only with 1-1.5C global warming. Imagine how things will be like when it's 2.5-3C warming by 2040-2050.
  21. 3 more days of 90s possible too and then some close calls first 10 days of September. Many sites will hit their all time annual 90s days. The drought conditions really helped break us to the upside on what would've been a lot of upper 80s days.
  22. This system seems legit. I think it'll be close whether it could develop this month. It'll probably become a name on the 31st or something to kill the 0/0/0 chances No idea where it'll go track wise though. Euro gets it just east of the Bahamas and then steering collapses.
  23. Let's just push the Earth towards the sun instead
  24. Drought will continue. GFS OP has no rain for its entire run.
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