SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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JB thought that would happen in the 2010s, instead we had the fastest warming decade on record There's nothing to suggest a cooling cycle. Net emissions are still rising, waters warming rapidly. Our baseline will increase with the next big Nino event possibly near 1.5C
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LA & Vegas are gonna be colder than us Not even joking. We'll be pushing 60+ while they stay in the 50s or colder
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It's coming
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I don't think MJO is that relevant tbh. We were in the cold phases in January and it didn't matter. It's usually only relevant when there's constructive interference
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A good cutter in 2nd half of Feb could really push things near 80F again However active Pacific jet makes things very progressive so I don't think we'll see that. January managed to torch with a high baseline rather than days of 60s & 70s.
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We haven't had a cold summer in over a decade so that ain't happening. And just because winter has been a torch doesn't mean spring will be cold. We could easily roll this torch into the spring/summer like 2012 Btw does anyone have March-May temperature departures after a warm Jan/Feb particularly years when Jan/Feb were +2 or greater over the last 10-15 years
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There's a chance at something around the 10-11th before it goes super torch
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Perfect alignment of unfavorable MJO and Nina forcing Despite that models point to sneaky cold/snow around the 10-11th. Afterwards we pretty much roast until late Feb.
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March could easily average colder than this Jan/Feb if it's just slightly BN
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Almost 60 and mostly 50s in 1st half of February. Basically late March to early April weather. Not even touching freezing at night. Never seen anything like it.
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It would be incredible if Jan/Feb 2023 were the warmest months on record
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Same here. That and their inauthentic, overly cheery delivery
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It's pretty close
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There is support for some anomalously warm temperatures. I think 70F is definitely in the cards
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What's our record for February, I think we have a good chance to come close despite a 2 day cold shot Have we ever had two back to back record warm months?
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Spring begins next week. We're gonna see record early green ups and growth. +8 or +9 Feb following a +9 to +11 January. Incredible stuff
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I think February could pull a +8 or +9 which would rank this winter as #1 in futility Insane stuff. Probably record early green ups
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There's barely a dusting outside but that's a blizzard this winter
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HRRR doesn't have anything so I doubt Euro has a clue. Likely too dry
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Nowhere to go but up from here. Assuming the rest of the season is a shutout I'll be thrilled the next time an advisory event is forecast (prob 23/24)
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Be happy you got any snow this season. Many posters not too far south like myself & Ant have only seen snow in the air a couple times.
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Weeklies suggest there's some potential. We could also follow the 11/12 route too
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You're doing better than most. Literally have 0 snow. And I only saw snow in the air 2-3 times
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Man if we see this along with the record warm January then we'll be seeing historic early leafing down here. It's already weeks early down south and I don't think a couple cold days will change that.
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It's crazy how this may end up too high barring a significant March storm
