SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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I mostly agree. It's more of a catalyst to bring the PV further south instead of just a glancing blow
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GFS tries to get a storm going ahead of the arctic air. If that trends stronger we could get some snow ahead of it Additionally a stronger system will help bring that bitterly cold air further south. Ensembles have been trending stronger and further south with the arctic vortex and there's precedent for this back in December. If this continues then believe it or not we would see widespread subzero temperatures
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Our first snow, if it happens, could very well occur in March like 97/98. A lot of funky things happen during seasonal transitions.
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It's so jarring that in the middle of an endless March we have this bitter cold shot for a day. Euro still shows subzero temps which is wild given how warm its been. Still think it'll moderate though
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I'll take any of those 3. Hell I'll take years like 08/09 & 12/13 too.
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C'mon NYC struggles to hit freezing at night in January NNE is another world compared to them
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Strong likelihood we see moderation. No snow cover and a glancing blow for us Slight northward adjustment of the vortex and we only see seasonably cold weather
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Nam went the opposite way. I wouldn't discount some snow around that time
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Late Feb to mid March could deliver. With changing wavelengths and still cold around it could happen. Most of Feb looks toast though given weeklies.
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Nuke this winter out of orbit
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I just wanna avoid the cold altogether. Nothing worse than bitter cold on top of the disaster that was this winter.
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I hope models are exaggerating. This is completely useless to me. Actually pretty dangerous cold in NE if it verifies
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The definition of useless cold if Euro verifies and just salt in the wound. Just let this ratter torch Hopefully the models are on crack
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I wonder if the big time cold shot the models show for early Feb will verify. GFS gives us subzero readings actually You may think it's crazy but it happened in Feb 2016 after a ridiculously warm December.
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The off hour runs are always kinda iffy. Gfs gives us near 0 lows and single digit highs for early Feb lol.
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If we don't get anything in the Feb 1-7 period then odds of seeing nothing go up big time.
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I forgot how awful 06/07 was
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I still think we're gonna beat 95/96 for snowfall before CC fully takes over. So sometime within the decade most likely
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Like I said we have next week, then likely torch followed by one more threat in late Feb to early March. Not sure how the rest of March will play out but hopefully it's mild and not a cold, blocky mess.
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It seems like all or nothing seasons nowadays. If the pattern is favorable next year then you'll see a lot of snow. So I wouldn't take that bet for next season because I think it'll be the opposite of this one
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Kinda seems like you're ignoring the big climate sized elephant in the room.
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The JBs of the world are already crafting a new narrative about that. Now it's underwater volcanoes causing the warming
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His forecast was pretty spot on actually but like you said for the wrong reasons. At least things can only go up from here next winter. So far it's in the top 3 for futility for me (lack of snow + warmth) If I don't get any snow this winter and given how warm Feb will turn it'll easily be #1 in futility.
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Incredible. Even a near normal January would feel frigid compared to this
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I don't see how we dodge next week. Models have snow south of us and the trend has been north all season
