SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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To be fair they've been mostly right with the warmth this year. One or two really cold days can't take away from how warm its been.
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Still 12F in Somerset. Rare to see most of Long Island so much colder in a CAA regime
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??? Not in our area. Below zero weather was fairly rare even back then
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I've heard at some point it gets so cold that it feels like you're on fire. Guessing below -100 WCs
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Cold is much more tolerable than heat. At least you can always layer up
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That's how we get these insane short term temperature swings Cold is nothing out of the ordinary. 15/1 right now with forecast of 8. Meh. 50+ nearly every day starting Sunday
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Climate change denialists are having a field day on Twitter over one really cold day It could be 70F every day in January but 1 cold day is enough to bring them out
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What does that feel like
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More BS from the GFS We spring starting Sunday. If there's any more snow it'll happen in the Feb 25-March 15 period.
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No it's possible it's just that it'll be a drop in the bucket compared to the record warm weather. If the orientation was different than subzero temps would've came further south.
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GEFS is still pretty mild. A muted version of the EPS
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Idk the EPS is looking extremely mild. I would still go +7
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?
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JB thought that would happen in the 2010s, instead we had the fastest warming decade on record There's nothing to suggest a cooling cycle. Net emissions are still rising, waters warming rapidly. Our baseline will increase with the next big Nino event possibly near 1.5C
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LA & Vegas are gonna be colder than us Not even joking. We'll be pushing 60+ while they stay in the 50s or colder
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It's coming
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I don't think MJO is that relevant tbh. We were in the cold phases in January and it didn't matter. It's usually only relevant when there's constructive interference
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A good cutter in 2nd half of Feb could really push things near 80F again However active Pacific jet makes things very progressive so I don't think we'll see that. January managed to torch with a high baseline rather than days of 60s & 70s.
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We haven't had a cold summer in over a decade so that ain't happening. And just because winter has been a torch doesn't mean spring will be cold. We could easily roll this torch into the spring/summer like 2012 Btw does anyone have March-May temperature departures after a warm Jan/Feb particularly years when Jan/Feb were +2 or greater over the last 10-15 years
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There's a chance at something around the 10-11th before it goes super torch
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Perfect alignment of unfavorable MJO and Nina forcing Despite that models point to sneaky cold/snow around the 10-11th. Afterwards we pretty much roast until late Feb.
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March could easily average colder than this Jan/Feb if it's just slightly BN
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Almost 60 and mostly 50s in 1st half of February. Basically late March to early April weather. Not even touching freezing at night. Never seen anything like it.
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It would be incredible if Jan/Feb 2023 were the warmest months on record
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Same here. That and their inauthentic, overly cheery delivery
