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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. Why are you pulling up random twitter threads and who are these people? I'll trust Bluewave's analysis 10x more than whatever these people have to say.
  2. That's the status quo nowadays. I imagine a strong ridge would get us to 100+ pretty easily given how dry its been
  3. I don't see the ridging push east. We'll probably have to wait until the WAR gets into gear to get into the real dewy heat. Some showers/t-storms due to the cool/hot gradient seem probable
  4. Still dropping into the 40s by morning and that could continue for a bit Nice trough on ensembles showing up for June too
  5. Eastern trough on ensembles to start June. So any sustained heat/heat waves will have to wait.
  6. There's no major heat indicators atm. Maybe near to slightly AN overall but definitely some cooler days mixed in too.
  7. GFS & GEFS trending uglier.
  8. If that low cuts off then it won't be great. Doesn't mean rain & cold everyday but definitely not summer like
  9. Another ugly holiday weekend?
  10. Early glance at Memorial day weekend doesn't look great. Maybe some subtropical activity?
  11. We'll get a good soaking and clearly the drier models were wrong at least in NJ
  12. Big shifts east on mesos. Have almost zero rainfall over NJ
  13. If the Nino forcing can't get going by mid-late summer and given very high Atlantic SSTs, then this hurricane season has the potential to really catch folks off guard.
  14. The timing sucks but we really need the rain.
  15. Models have cutoffs underneath the ridge which is displaced north.
  16. 38F this morning. Likely our last 30s until October. We start our summer pattern by Memorial day weekend
  17. If GFS is correct we'd have record low rainfall this month heading into summer Thats not good
  18. The lack of rain this early isn't great. A lot of smokey skies, dead vegetation, and brush fires if it doesn't change
  19. Midsummer sun but weatherwise it couldn't be more different
  20. If there's no severe in that pattern then I don't care.
  21. That won't last much longer. The dews are coming sooner or later.
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