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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Horrible if true
  2. SnoSki14
    If GFS is correct we'd have record low rainfall this month heading into summer Thats not good
  3. SnoSki14
    The lack of rain this early isn't great. A lot of smokey skies, dead vegetation, and brush fires if it doesn't change
  4. SnoSki14
    Midsummer sun but weatherwise it couldn't be more different
  5. SnoSki14
    If there's no severe in that pattern then I don't care.
  6. SnoSki14
    That won't last much longer. The dews are coming sooner or later.
  7. SnoSki14
    The bar is extremely low after last winter especially south of 41N Hell a 10" winter would be nearly a 5x improvement for places like NYC. I'll take a strong Nino over the crap we've been dealing with because at least there's a chance at something interesting. It also shakes up the stagnant Nina pattern.
  8. SnoSki14
    That's a very bad sign for fires
  9. SnoSki14
    Snowman calling for a blowtorch winter? Whoa that never happens. Is JB calling for a 09-10 because that never happens either?
  10. SnoSki14
    There's more to it than strong Nino equals no hurricane season especially with the very odd evolution of this Nino. Things are changing in the new CC era. Old rules no longer apply
  11. SnoSki14
    EPS has a stout western north American ridge and troughing closer to us which should trend stronger
  12. SnoSki14
    Any reasoning for the cooler anomalies off the northeast US & SE Canada coasts?
  13. SnoSki14
    Weather looks good after tomorrow. Weekend looks great. I don't see any major heat for now. Temperatures will probably stay close to seasonable levels averaged out. 3rd week of May could be cooler though.
  14. SnoSki14
    Models want to hang onto the omega blocking longer today. Probably closer to seasonal vs torch
  15. SnoSki14
    Could be a back and forth type deal too. Either way it should be a lot warmer. We're getting closer to that solar max after all.
  16. SnoSki14
    It takes a lot for us to see a cool month. We'd need the omega block or any extreme block to last most of the month. We've also seen a big swing where the west is cool & we're very warm since 2015. Parts of CA have seen top 5 record cold months.
  17. SnoSki14
    That's not that unusual. They can get snow well into May
  18. SnoSki14
    Don't doubt a warmup but with elevated heights from lingering block over western Canada, I could see a cooler trend develop as we get closer.
  19. SnoSki14
    Intensifying low coming up the coast so precip will fill in quickly. Subtropical look with bands that'll come from the southeast as low pulls up.
  20. SnoSki14
    HRRR really slams parts of C/N NJ over next few hrs. 2"+ amounts on top of what's already fallen
  21. SnoSki14
    I was gonna say this has a tropical feel to it. The surface low is really impressive down south too
  22. SnoSki14
    Ok this will deliver for everyone. Nice pocket of rain now and we still have the strong pocket associated with the surface low
  23. SnoSki14
    Why do you assume it'll be an east based Nino? Warming typically starts east and propagates westward. Monthlies show this happening by the fall. Strong eastern warming can collapse very quickly.
  24. SnoSki14
    Models sort of all over the place with rain amounts today. I do wonder if we'll be dry slotted with low going right over us with heavy rains west & east of us. Very chilly first few days of May. GFS has highs in the 40s on Wednesday with graupel likely
  25. SnoSki14
    The flowers have been out for a couple weeks already Very early leafout & bloom this year
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