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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    There's no major heat indicators atm. Maybe near to slightly AN overall but definitely some cooler days mixed in too.
  2. SnoSki14
    GFS & GEFS trending uglier.
  3. SnoSki14
    Trending in the wrong direction though
  4. SnoSki14
    If that low cuts off then it won't be great. Doesn't mean rain & cold everyday but definitely not summer like
  5. SnoSki14
    Not on Euro
  6. SnoSki14
    Another ugly holiday weekend?
  7. SnoSki14
    Early glance at Memorial day weekend doesn't look great. Maybe some subtropical activity?
  8. SnoSki14
    We'll get a good soaking and clearly the drier models were wrong at least in NJ
  9. SnoSki14
    That alone should warrant caution
  10. SnoSki14
    Big shifts east on mesos. Have almost zero rainfall over NJ
  11. SnoSki14
    If the Nino forcing can't get going by mid-late summer and given very high Atlantic SSTs, then this hurricane season has the potential to really catch folks off guard.
  12. SnoSki14
    The timing sucks but we really need the rain.
  13. SnoSki14
    Models have cutoffs underneath the ridge which is displaced north.
  14. SnoSki14
    38F this morning. Likely our last 30s until October. We start our summer pattern by Memorial day weekend
  15. SnoSki14
    Horrible if true
  16. SnoSki14
    If GFS is correct we'd have record low rainfall this month heading into summer Thats not good
  17. SnoSki14
    The lack of rain this early isn't great. A lot of smokey skies, dead vegetation, and brush fires if it doesn't change
  18. SnoSki14
    Midsummer sun but weatherwise it couldn't be more different
  19. SnoSki14
    If there's no severe in that pattern then I don't care.
  20. SnoSki14
    That won't last much longer. The dews are coming sooner or later.
  21. SnoSki14
    The bar is extremely low after last winter especially south of 41N Hell a 10" winter would be nearly a 5x improvement for places like NYC. I'll take a strong Nino over the crap we've been dealing with because at least there's a chance at something interesting. It also shakes up the stagnant Nina pattern.
  22. SnoSki14
    That's a very bad sign for fires
  23. SnoSki14
    Snowman calling for a blowtorch winter? Whoa that never happens. Is JB calling for a 09-10 because that never happens either?
  24. SnoSki14
    There's more to it than strong Nino equals no hurricane season especially with the very odd evolution of this Nino. Things are changing in the new CC era. Old rules no longer apply
  25. SnoSki14
    EPS has a stout western north American ridge and troughing closer to us which should trend stronger
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