SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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With the rapidly warming Atlantic waters that should theoretically enhance Tstorm activity
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100s by June We're due for a Pac NW style heat dome. 110+ readings
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Man spring is going to get to a hot start. Already seeing June like temperatures by mid April.
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It does appear that we've seen an uptick in tornadoes as of late but not sure.
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Whatever happens next winter pretty much can't be any worse than this one unless we really get 0 snow instead of 2"
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Yeah the low dews should've been a dead giveaway up here but this is really impressive for C/S NJ. Definite tornadic activity
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Lightning has been really impressive
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South NJ severe capital of the Northeast
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The line in eastern PA is strengthening. I think we'll get some strong gusts with it, possibly severe.
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I think lapse rates will make up for the so-so instability. You're not going to get summer CAPE in early April
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I wonder if they're contemplating a tornado watch. Lapse rates are ridiculous right now
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I disagree. I think we're going to see major ignition over the next hour
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Getting concerned with the severe weather threat. This system has a bad history. I really hope we don't get some rogue strong tornado
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I think so. Plenty of time to destabilize. High shear, high lapse rates, high humidity.
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That's a really clear dry slot. You don't see that very often around here with severe events.
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I don't think that matters as much today. Severe parameters are favorable to the coasts.
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So I'm guessing we'll be seeing another tornado or two per slight risk from SPC. We managed one in Feb so we can definitely get some tomorrow.
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Temperature differences are stark this morning. Got down to 26F in Somerset while it's almost 40 in the city.
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Persistence since start of winter.... incredible.
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What a winter out west. Even as we enter April there's still strong troughs digging deep into CA. Incredibly persistent pattern. 30F this morning. Maybe 2-3 more freezes left and that's it until Oct/Nov.
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With troughs still digging out west and recent history showing many 80s & even 90s in April, this is definitely not out of the question.
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1972-1973 would still be an improvement over this season down here lol
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ENSO warming usually starts east and spreads west so just because we're seeing major east based warming doesn't mean it'll be an east based event. Any comparisons to 97/98 is extremely premature at this stage
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It wouldn't surprise me if next winter is the total opposite of this one. Going from one extreme to the next has been very common.
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He's already prepping to tell us how much next winter will suck.
