SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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Euro/EPS are quite wet last 10 days of June
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Which is why you actually need a strong Nino if you want a coupled atmospheric response Perhaps even a Nino equivalent to the strong/super Nino years of the past will net a much more muted atmospheric response due to multiple competing influences like the Pacific warm pool. Very fascinating to see what will happen
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That Midwest/Ohio Valley trough is ideal for us to get plenty of rain/tstorms this time of year
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Not sure if typical Nino caveats apply either in this new climate Hell it's a developing strong Nino and we're getting multiple MDR systems in June
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Gfs trending decidedly less summery.
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Gfs trending more unsettled again for us as well.
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Not ready to bite yet. That looks like an omega pattern to me. Perhaps the trough will be to the east but too early to tell
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I'm a bit skeptical of this sudden flip but we'll see.
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I feel like CFS flip flops a lot though. I mean I'm leaning towards another torch but hopefully it'll be like 2015-16 with one good monster storm.
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That composite has the 2 worst winters on record for the east. 72-73 was the least snowiest winter in NYC prior to this winter. So I really hope that's wrong however back to back sucky winters aren't uncommon (see 96/97-99/00 or any 80s years)
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All this cool talk but I think June still would've been slightly AN using the older averages and May definitely would've been AN. But I guess less hot is the new cool nowadays
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There's a lot of cutoffs in this pattern. It's gonna produce sooner or later
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It seems like backdooring could be an issue this summer for the NE. Pretty sizable area of BN SSTs off the northeast, SE Canada & Atlantic costs.
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2023 Atlantic Hurricane season
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
I've never seen anything like this. Strong Nino developing yet Atlantic would suggest high activity What a battle -
Near solstice sun angle will do the trick. It doesn't have to be 95+ to feel hot in June
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It does appear the Nino will almost certainly have to be quite strong to couple with the atmosphere and counter the west Pacific warm pool. Very curious to see how the hurricane season plays out though with record warm MDR SSTs present.
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Lol it's June 10 Not even astronomical summer and temperatures are barely BN against warmer averages. Imagine if we saw 2009 again or an early 2000s summer how people would react
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44F this morning
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Very dry weather and heat plus anomalous blocking pattern is exacerbated by CC. Of course conspiracy theorists are going rampant on Twitter that this was all a setup. The entire world could be on fire and they'll always claim that. Hopefully the sane people win out though.
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In what world?
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Driving home in what looks like the apocalypse Never thought I'd see this
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Red flag warnings up. Risk is higher than normal with very dry fuels present Dry Tstorms will add to the risk
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April was still record warm regardless, which if you believe only had 1 intense week makes it that much more impressive. And sure spring isn't warming as fast but it's still warming. Our "cool" May would've been AN if we used earlier averages. To each their own but I consider spring March-May, summer June- August and so forth.
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We just had the warmest April on record and March was pretty warm too. I swear everyone has the memory of a goldfish
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In a couple weeks it'll struggle to dip below 70 at night with high dews so I'll happily take this
