We had a severely negative AO, a negative NAO and even a decent PNA for a time in December and it produced squat.
Also see Tip's post in the New England subforum about how teleconnections don't play the same role as they did in the past in today's CC era.
The TPV will be coming south with the cold shifting to our side of the globe. Whether that'll be enough to counter the SE ridging remains to be seen.
Additionally the polar vortex is going to be taking a beating over the next 10+ days. That'll introduce uncertainty to the pattern.
We're already seeing models deamplify the 25/26 system. Could turn into a SWFE