SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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GFS starting to align with other models, no longer stalls down south
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It's not dry air, it's the broad circulation. No models had it being much more than a Cat 1. Not every hurricane is going to blow past intensity forecasts.
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And this is the driest model
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Last 3 days delivered rains here. GFS seems out to lunch with Debby, most models bring it up the coast
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Subtle trends east with CMC/GFS
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That doesn't mean we won't get heavy rains here. CMC/GFS still shows heavy amounts east Then you have Icon to the east
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Good lord at the flooding potential over GA/SC. 30"+ amounts possible
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Yesterday a lot of places picked up nearly an inch or more. Now we're getting tropical influences too. Ensembles are extremely wet for 1st half of August. It's going to rain a lot.
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This is why flooding is so rampant. Just wait til the tropics get involved
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Not really, every summer will be like this and hotter from now on. This will be considered a cool summer a decade from now.
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The dry spell will end in a hurry.
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As long as it doesn't get stuck down south this could deliver some serious tropical rains up here Ensembles are very wet for us
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Yeah not the most organized. Maybe things will ramp up as it gets closer
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When did it leave? Models have low to mid 90s over the next several days.
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A precursor to the tropics later?
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Whoever still thinks this isn't a top 2-3 hottest summers is fooling themselves. It's probably hottest once you factor the humidity
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Not much in Somerset. Misses all around. Oh well
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Nice winds ahead of it but mostly showers Meh
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The atmosphere is strongly Nina coupled though so it won't be long before things get wild. Wind shear is very low throughout and ssts remains near record highs. Once SAL diminishes and MJO becomes more favorable it'll be off to the races
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Boo another miss My old place in Sayreville is getting crushed Got clipped by the tail end and had a nice 10 minute downpour
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It's only a matter of time before we challenge those records. We're getting 604dm ridges in the Atlantic now.
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Hottest real feel temps possible? Imagine 100F with 80 dews
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Huge. Congrats out east Best bet now is late Wednesday with string front coming through. HRRR was dry at least
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Yeah this sucked. At least it's cooler
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Which is why worst summer ever regarding heat/humidity is probably true. Like you said it's only July 11th. Plenty more 95+ days next week before a short break.
