SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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LA & Vegas are gonna be colder than us Not even joking. We'll be pushing 60+ while they stay in the 50s or colder
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It's coming
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I don't think MJO is that relevant tbh. We were in the cold phases in January and it didn't matter. It's usually only relevant when there's constructive interference
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A good cutter in 2nd half of Feb could really push things near 80F again However active Pacific jet makes things very progressive so I don't think we'll see that. January managed to torch with a high baseline rather than days of 60s & 70s.
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We haven't had a cold summer in over a decade so that ain't happening. And just because winter has been a torch doesn't mean spring will be cold. We could easily roll this torch into the spring/summer like 2012 Btw does anyone have March-May temperature departures after a warm Jan/Feb particularly years when Jan/Feb were +2 or greater over the last 10-15 years
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There's a chance at something around the 10-11th before it goes super torch
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Perfect alignment of unfavorable MJO and Nina forcing Despite that models point to sneaky cold/snow around the 10-11th. Afterwards we pretty much roast until late Feb.
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March could easily average colder than this Jan/Feb if it's just slightly BN
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Almost 60 and mostly 50s in 1st half of February. Basically late March to early April weather. Not even touching freezing at night. Never seen anything like it.
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It would be incredible if Jan/Feb 2023 were the warmest months on record
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Same here. That and their inauthentic, overly cheery delivery
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It's pretty close
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There is support for some anomalously warm temperatures. I think 70F is definitely in the cards
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What's our record for February, I think we have a good chance to come close despite a 2 day cold shot Have we ever had two back to back record warm months?
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Spring begins next week. We're gonna see record early green ups and growth. +8 or +9 Feb following a +9 to +11 January. Incredible stuff
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I think February could pull a +8 or +9 which would rank this winter as #1 in futility Insane stuff. Probably record early green ups
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There's barely a dusting outside but that's a blizzard this winter
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HRRR doesn't have anything so I doubt Euro has a clue. Likely too dry
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Nowhere to go but up from here. Assuming the rest of the season is a shutout I'll be thrilled the next time an advisory event is forecast (prob 23/24)
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Be happy you got any snow this season. Many posters not too far south like myself & Ant have only seen snow in the air a couple times.
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Weeklies suggest there's some potential. We could also follow the 11/12 route too
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You're doing better than most. Literally have 0 snow. And I only saw snow in the air 2-3 times
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Man if we see this along with the record warm January then we'll be seeing historic early leafing down here. It's already weeks early down south and I don't think a couple cold days will change that.
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It's crazy how this may end up too high barring a significant March storm
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People may laugh but you're not wrong. Soil temperatures are extremely warm for this time of year. And with increasing daylight and well AN temperatures there will definitely be early green ups
