SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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I hope everyone knows our favorable period wasn't supposed to come until after the 10th. The AO is still positive and MJO unfavorable. Not surprised to see models look better for next week. This is definitely SNE storm but hopefully we can get something too
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I did say this coming pattern would favor SNE a lot more than us but that doesn't mean it can't snow here. Also "huge bust". The most models spit out was 1-2" so calm down lol.
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This was a fairly warm system aloft. Not much cold wedging either so even surface temps are warming. Advisory called for an inch of snow/sleet and that makes sense. Wasn't expecting more than that from this one. Much higher ceiling Saturday
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Hopefully that continues. Has the makings of a nice snow event if it trends a little colder.
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I agree here. One storm at a time. I'm just focusing on tonight into tomorrow morning first to see what happens. Colder/snowier outcome would probably lead to the same for next system.
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One storm at a time. Next week will change a lot
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Which is probably not great. We want a strong thump. Weaker precip won't help
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SE ridge linking with blocking on Euro...same ole song and dance. My 2-4" by the 20th is looking great Actually think there's a good window late Feb into 1st week of March. Blocking gets situated and less western troughiness
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I wouldn't be surprised if we ended up in a screw zone with systems prior to Feb 10 being north of us and post 10th south of us.
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No. This will be from Feb 5-20
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Sure we'll see what happens between now and Feb 20. My prediction is 2-4" total for NYC south
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Just think we get mostly slop. Models trended stronger with SE ridge for the 11-13th too hence the snow/mix to rain the Euro shows. This is a SNE snow pattern to me and I'll stand by it
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Watch us end up with 2" tops. GFS is on crack
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It's very early but think the 12-13th has the best potential to deliver something of substance aka more than 1-2" of slop.
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Best case scenario that we could hope for.
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Not necessarily. The SE ridge will keep fighting back as it does in Nina Febs. We could use some luck with where the gradient sets up.
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A slopfest is possible for sure. Better chance for more frozen with the 9th system however only a slight north trend would lead to mainly rain
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Yup we're kicking that can. That's why we can't buy into colorful maps.
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So far I'm seeing a bunch of pretty maps and no results. We'll see what happens in a few weeks. I continue to believe the boundary ends up further north. Great pattern for SNE points north.
