SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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All these small events are nice and all but man would I love another KU, it's been years. I really think the right storm could deliver record snows given warm ssts, dynamics, more precip.
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Should be done here by 9-930
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NWS is going to do well. Let's not keep doubting them please
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If ratios get better and rates ramp up it'll be really easy to get 4" in 2-3 hours
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Will need to see models start trending favorably soon. Most of them have precip offshore
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Keep in mind ratios should increase eventually as storm gets going. A lot of the models are based on the standard 10:1 but temps will be dropping as CAA gets underway.
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Advisories will go up this afternoon given 12z suite. Probably 2-4 or 3-6" for the non watch zones
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Overrunning/swfe potential for sure
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Lol sure it's not. Snow is basically like a crack addiction
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It's the Nam
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Ok but brace yourselves for 12z suite
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HRRR with slop. Models trending in the wrong direction
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Maybe it'll keep trending amped and all this will be a waste of time over rain. I think that's very possible
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Fool's gold fatigue. A lot of forecast threats that failed to materialize. It's been a rough few years outside one January a few years back.
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A couple of opportunities if the trough was sharper
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If this busts places in the deep south will see more snow than us this winter. New Orleans looking at a historic snowstorm on some of these models
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Rgem more east, less amped which is good. Nam trending more favorably. GFS more amped. Euro still the weaker/less amped solution but everything is trending in a positive direction. Good chance many places see 2-5" with NW burbs seeing 4-8" or better.
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Split the difference and we're doing great
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It's an outlier so I would discount it. And honestly with the rgem and some of the east solutions we're in a good spot
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The TPV press makes an amplified solution less likely and that's where the GFS/Euro are at with room to trend west.
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Hopefully we get something. Would be a shame to waste all this cold and get little to nothing
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Get a rainy cutter a day ahead of a strong cold snap and boom this verifies.
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Cold alone doesn't mean much unless you live in the south. The right storm track is everything. Much warmer winters yielded far snowier patterns.
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GFS blew major chunks with its "storm" depiction for Friday night. I'll take the other models over it
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The torch can't come fast enough. What a horrendous winter pattern. I'll take a torch winter with a good track for a few snow events over this crap any day.
